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First and Last Mile Delivery Global Market Report 2025
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First-and last-mile delivery involves the transportation of finished goods from the factory to a distribution center and ultimately to an end customer, representing the initial and final stages of the fulfillment process within the supply chain. This transportation is crucial for the delivery of goods to the end consumer.

The primary categories of first and last-mile delivery include dry goods, postal, and liquid goods. Dry goods typically refer to non-liquid grocery items. Various types of vehicles, such as light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty vehicles, play a role in this process. These vehicles are utilized across industries such as chemical, pharmaceutical, healthcare, fast-moving consumer goods, hi-tech products, food and beverage, and others.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report's Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

The sharp rise in U.S. tariffs and the resulting trade tensions in spring 2025 are having a considerable impact on the transport services sector by increasing the costs of vehicles, spare parts, and fuel-critical inputs frequently imported from tariff-affected regions. Freight operators, logistics companies, and public transportation providers are experiencing margin pressures as elevated equipment and maintenance expenses coincide with limited flexibility to pass these costs on to customers due to intense market competition. This climate of uncertainty has also led to delays in fleet upgrades and the adoption of greener, more energy-efficient vehicles, hindering progress toward sustainability objectives. In response, transport firms are enhancing route optimization, investing in fuel-efficient technologies, renegotiating supplier agreements, and adopting collaborative logistics strategies to share resources and cushion the financial impact of rising tariffs.

The first and last mile delivery market research report is one of a series of new reports from The Business Research Company that provides first and last mile delivery market statistics, including first and last mile delivery industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with first and last mile delivery market share, detailed first and last mile delivery market segments, market trends, and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the first and last mile delivery industry. This first and last-mile delivery market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenarios of the industry.

The first and last mile delivery market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $186.31 billion in 2024 to $204.08 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to e-commerce boom, consumer demand for speed and convenience, environmental concerns, investments in delivery infrastructure, rise of on-demand services.

The first and last mile delivery market size is expected to see rapid growth in the next few years. It will grow to $303.13 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.4%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to integration of autonomous vehicles, expansion of same-day delivery services, customization of delivery options, increased collaboration in urban mobility, implementation of sustainable practices. Major trends in the forecast period include autonomous delivery vehicles, micro-fulfillment centers, rise of electric and low-emission vehicles, integration of advanced route optimization, real-time visibility and tracking, contactless delivery solutions.

The forecast of 10.4% growth over the next five years reflects a slight reduction of 0.1% from the previous projection. This reduction is primarily due to the impact of tariffs between the US and other countries. Increased costs on small commercial EVs and route optimization software could hinder affordability and reliability in first and last mile logistics. The effect will also be felt more widely due to reciprocal tariffs and the negative effect on the global economy and trade due to increased trade tensions and restrictions.

The growth of e-commerce is anticipated to drive the first-and last-mile delivery markets in the future. E-commerce involves the buying and selling of goods and services through electronic networks, primarily the internet. First-and last-mile delivery services act as a link between suppliers and end customers, facilitating transactions for both parties. As e-commerce continues to rise, it will significantly contribute to the expansion of the first-and last-mile delivery market. For example, in November 2023, the United States Census Bureau, a government agency, reported that U.S. retail e-commerce sales reached $284.1 billion in the third quarter of 2023, marking a 7.6% increase from the same period in 2022 and representing 15.6% of total sales. Thus, the increasing e-commerce activity is propelling the growth of the first and last-mile delivery market.

The ongoing trend of urbanization is expected to boost the first-and last-mile delivery market in the coming years. Urbanization is characterized by the large-scale migration of populations from rural areas to cities. This trend has led to an increased demand for efficient and sustainable logistics solutions to tackle the challenges of transporting goods in densely populated regions. First-and last-mile delivery services are crucial for addressing the needs of urban consumers by offering timely and convenient delivery options. For instance, in April 2023, the World Bank, a U.S.-based international financial institution, reported that approximately 4.4 billion people, or 56% of the global population, currently live in urban areas. By 2050, it is projected that about 7 out of 10 people will reside in cities, with the urban population expected to more than double from its current level. Therefore, the increasing urbanization is fueling the growth of the first-and last-mile delivery market.

Technological advancements are becoming a prominent trend in the first- and last-mile delivery markets. Leading companies in these markets are concentrating on creating new technological solutions to bolster their market positions. For example, in September 2022, Celcius Logistics Solutions Pvt Ltd, an India-based cold-chain marketplace, introduced the Smart Last Mile Delivery Platform. This platform combines a tech-enabled inventory management system (IMS) with IoT devices for real-time tracking, ensuring comprehensive visibility of products throughout the delivery process. It minimizes wastage, optimizes delivery times, and enhances food security by improving the efficiency of cold supply chains in India.

Major players in the first- and last-mile delivery market are focusing on innovative strategies, such as zero-emissions delivery, to reduce traffic, enhance access to safe and convenient goods and services, and experiment with new zero-emissions delivery methods. Zero-emissions delivery refers to initiatives and programs designed to transform sustainable transportation by encouraging or requiring the use of zero-emission vehicles for goods delivery. For instance, in November 2023, Amazon.com Inc., a U.S.-based online retail giant, launched the Last Mile Fleet Programme in India, featuring a fully electric vehicle (EV) fleet- a global first for the company. This initiative will assist over 300 Delivery Service Partners (DSPs) in completing customer deliveries with zero tailpipe emissions. It enables DSPs to obtain safe, high-quality zero-emission vehicles through a fleet management company, building on the success of its operations in North America and Europe.

In May 2022, United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS), a prominent US-based provider of package delivery and supply chain management solutions, finalized the undisclosed acquisition of Delivery Solutions. This strategic acquisition positions UPS to integrate its resources with Delivery Solutions, fortifying a customer-centric approach and positioning UPS as a digital front-runner in the industry. Delivery Solutions, a US-based retail e-commerce enterprise specializing in last-mile SaaS delivery services, aligns with UPS's objectives to enhance its capabilities in the last-mile delivery segment and strengthen its digital footprint within the market.

Major companies operating in the first and last mile delivery market include FedEx Corporation, DHL Global Forwarding, Cargo Carriers Limited, United Parcel Services Inc., Concargo Private Limited, TNT Holdings B.V., Transtech Logistics Pvt Ltd., DB Schenker, Swift Transportation Company, Kerry Logistics Network Limited, KART, XPO Logistics, DSV A/S, J.B. Hunt Transport Inc., Agility, CEVA Logistics, STO Express, Dachser Group SE & Co. KG, The Toll Group, C.H. Robinson, China Post Group Corporation, Kuehne + Nagel International AG, GEODIS, Nippon Express Co. Ltd.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the first and last mile delivery market in 2024. The regions covered in the first and last mile delivery market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa

The countries covered in the first and last mile delivery market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.

The first and last-mile delivery market includes revenues earned by providing dark stores delivery services and curbside pickup delivery services. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. Only goods and services traded between entities or sold to end consumers are included.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

First and Last Mile Delivery Global Market Report 2025 from The Business Research Company provides strategists, marketers and senior management with the critical information they need to assess the market.

This report focuses on first and last mile delivery market which is experiencing strong growth. The report gives a guide to the trends which will be shaping the market over the next ten years and beyond.

Reasons to Purchase

Where is the largest and fastest growing market for first and last mile delivery ? How does the market relate to the overall economy, demography and other similar markets? What forces will shape the market going forward, including technological disruption, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer preferences? The first and last mile delivery market global report from the Business Research Company answers all these questions and many more.

The report covers market characteristics, size and growth, segmentation, regional and country breakdowns, competitive landscape, market shares, trends and strategies for this market. It traces the market's historic and forecast market growth by geography.

The forecasts are made after considering the major factors currently impacting the market. These include the technological advancements such as AI and automation, Russia-Ukraine war, trade tariffs (government-imposed import/export duties), elevated inflation and interest rates.

Scope

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. First and Last Mile Delivery Market Characteristics

3. First and Last Mile Delivery Market Trends And Strategies

4. First and Last Mile Delivery Market - Macro Economic Scenario Including The Impact Of Interest Rates, Inflation, Geopolitics, Trade Wars and Tariffs, And Covid And Recovery On The Market

5. Global First and Last Mile Delivery Growth Analysis And Strategic Analysis Framework

6. First and Last Mile Delivery Market Segmentation

7. First and Last Mile Delivery Market Regional And Country Analysis

8. Asia-Pacific First and Last Mile Delivery Market

9. China First and Last Mile Delivery Market

10. India First and Last Mile Delivery Market

11. Japan First and Last Mile Delivery Market

12. Australia First and Last Mile Delivery Market

13. Indonesia First and Last Mile Delivery Market

14. South Korea First and Last Mile Delivery Market

15. Western Europe First and Last Mile Delivery Market

16. UK First and Last Mile Delivery Market

17. Germany First and Last Mile Delivery Market

18. France First and Last Mile Delivery Market

19. Italy First and Last Mile Delivery Market

20. Spain First and Last Mile Delivery Market

21. Eastern Europe First and Last Mile Delivery Market

22. Russia First and Last Mile Delivery Market

23. North America First and Last Mile Delivery Market

24. USA First and Last Mile Delivery Market

25. Canada First and Last Mile Delivery Market

26. South America First and Last Mile Delivery Market

27. Brazil First and Last Mile Delivery Market

28. Middle East First and Last Mile Delivery Market

29. Africa First and Last Mile Delivery Market

30. First and Last Mile Delivery Market Competitive Landscape And Company Profiles

31. First and Last Mile Delivery Market Other Major And Innovative Companies

32. Global First and Last Mile Delivery Market Competitive Benchmarking And Dashboard

33. Key Mergers And Acquisitions In The First and Last Mile Delivery Market

34. Recent Developments In The First and Last Mile Delivery Market

35. First and Last Mile Delivery Market High Potential Countries, Segments and Strategies

36. Appendix

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