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What Impact Will the EU¢¥s New CO2 Regulations Have on the Electric Light Commercial Vehicle Market?
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2025-2027³â EUÀÇ CO2 ±ÔÁ¦´Â ¼ÒÇü »ó¿ëÂ÷(LCV) Á¦Á¶¾÷ü¿¡ ¾ö°ÝÇÑ ¿ä±¸»çÇ×À» ºÎ°úÇϰí ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, ±× °á°ú Àüü LCV ÆÇ¸Å·®¿¡¼­ Àü±â LCV(eLCV)ÀÇ ÆÇ¸Å·®À» Å©°Ô ´Ã·Á¾ß ÇÕ´Ï´Ù. Àüü LCV ½ÃÀåÀº °è¼Ó È®´ëµÇ°í ÀÖÁö¸¸, eLCV¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¼ö¿ä´Â 6³â ¸¸¿¡ óÀ½À¸·Î °¨¼ÒÇϰí ÀÖ½À´Ï´Ù. ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ »õ·Î¿î ±ÔÁ¦¿¡ µû¶ó À¯·´ eLCV ½ÃÀå(EU, À¯·´ÀÚÀ¯¹«¿ª¿¬ÇÕ(EFTA), ¿µ±¹(EU+EFTA+UK)À» ÇÕÄ£ ½ÃÀå)¿¡ ¾î¶² º¯È­°¡ ¿¹»óµÇ¸ç, ½ÃÀå ÁøÀÔ ±â¾÷ÀÌ ÄÄÇöóÀ̾𽺸¦ ÁؼöÇϱâ À§ÇØ ¼±ÅÃÇÒ ¼ö ÀÖ´Â ¹æ¹ýÀº ¹«¾ùÀϱî¿ä?

ÀÌ Àü·« ÀλçÀÌÆ®¿¡¼­´Â EU+EFTA+UKÀÇ LCV Á¦Á¶¾÷ü¿¡ ´ëÇÑ »õ·Î¿î CO2 ¸ñÇ¥ÀÇ ¿µÇâ, À¯·´ÀÇ LCV ¹× eLCV ½ÃÀå ±¸Á¶, »õ·Î¿î CO2 ¸ñÇ¥ Áؼö¸¦ À§ÇÑ ÀáÀçÀû ¼Ö·ç¼Ç, »õ·Î¿î CO2 ¸ñÇ¥°¡ eLCVÀÇ Ã¤ÅÃÀ» Áõ°¡½ÃųÁö °¨¼Ò½ÃųÁö ¿©ºÎ¸¦ Á¶»çÇÕ´Ï´Ù.

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The EU's CO2 regulations for 2025-2027 place stringent demands on light commercial vehicle (LCV) manufacturers, and consequently, the number of electric LCVs (eLCVs) they sell as a percentage of their overall LCV sales must increase significantly. While the overall LCV market is continuing to expand, for the first time in six years, demand for eLCVs is falling. In light of these new regulations, what changes are likely for Europe's eLCV market-the combined EU, the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), and the UK (EU+EFTA+UK)-and what options do market participants have available to ensure their compliance?

In this Strategy Insight, Guidehouse Research looks at the impact of new CO2 targets on LCV manufacturers in the EU+EFTA+UK, the structures of Europe's LCV and eLCV markets, potential solutions for complying with the new CO2 targets, and whether the new CO2 targets will increase or decrease eLCV adoption.

Table of Contents

This report covers the following:

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