The geothermal energy market is estimated to reach USD 13.56 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 5.3% during the forecast period.
Scope of the Report
Years Considered for the Study
2021-2030
Base Year
2024
Forecast Period
2025-2030
Units Considered
Value (USD Billion)
Segments
Geothermal energy market by technology, temperature, application, and region
Regions covered
Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, Middle East & Africa, and South America
The need for renewable power generation, increasing adoption of ground source heat pumps (GHP), and favorable government policies are the major factors driving the market for geothermal energy.
"Flash steam plants segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period."
By technology, the geothermal energy market has been segmented into binary cycle plants, flash steam plants, dry steam plants, ground source heat pumps, direct systems, and others. The flash steam plants segment is expected to grow at the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Flash steam plants vary in size depending on whether they are single (0.2-80 MW), double (2-110 MW), or triple-flash (60- 150 MW) plants. It produces about 27 kg/MWh of CO2 emissions, while a binary power plant produces zero CO2 emissions. The favorable government policies and the developed technology of dry steam plants are expected to drive the overall geothermal energy market.
"Power generation is expected to be the largest application during the forecast period."
By application, the geothermal energy market has been segmented into power generation, residential heating and cooling, commercial heating and cooling, and others. The power generation segment is expected to be the largest application of geothermal energy during the forecast period due to the increasing demand for sustainable energy in every sector. Geothermal energy is preferred over other renewable forms of energy, such as wind, solar, and hydropower, for power generation.
"North America is estimated to be the second-largest market during the forecast period."
North America is anticipated to be the second-largest geothermal energy market. The market in the region is driven by technological advancements in geologically favorable regions and a strong emphasis by countries on utilizing geothermal resources for electricity generation and other applications. Additionally, rising investments in new geothermal projects across the region are expected to further accelerate market growth. Innovation, strategic focus, and increased funding position North America as a key player in the global geothermal energy sector.
Breakdown of Primaries:
In-depth interviews have been conducted with various key industry participants, subject-matter experts, C-level executives of key market players, and industry consultants, among other experts, to obtain and verify critical qualitative and quantitative information and assess future market prospects. The distribution of primary interviews is as follows:
By Company Type: Tier 1 - 11%, Tier 2 - 85%, and Tier 3 - 24%
By Designation: C-Level - 30%, Managers - 25%, and Others - 45%
By Region: North America - 33%, Europe - 27%, Asia Pacific - 20%, Middle East & Africa - 12%, and South America - 18%
Note: The tiers of the companies are defined based on their total revenues as of 2024. Tier 1: > USD 1 billion, Tier 2: From USD 500 million to USD 1 billion, and Tier 3: < USD 500 million
The geothermal energy market is dominated by a few major players that have a wide geographical presence. The leading players in the geothermal energy market are Ormat (US), MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD. (Japan), GE Vernova (US), Ansaldo Energia (Italy), Fuji Electric Co., Ltd. (Japan), Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation (Japan), Siemens AG (Germany), EXERGY INTERNATIONAL SRL (Italy), SLB (US), Halliburton (US), NOV (US), Weatherford (US), Welltec (Denmark), MANNVIT (Iceland), NIBE Group (Sweden), and others. The study includes an in-depth competitive analysis of these key players in the geothermal energy market, with their company profiles, recent developments, and key market strategies.
Research Coverage:
The report defines, describes, and forecasts the global geothermal energy market by application (Power Generation, Residential & Commercial Heating and Cooling), Temperature (Low, Medium, and High Temperature), Technology (Binary and Flash Cycle Plant, Dry Steam Plant, Ground Source Heat Pumps, Direct Systems), and Region. The scope of the report covers detailed information regarding the major factors, such as drivers, restraints, challenges, and opportunities, influencing the growth of the geothermal energy market. A detailed analysis of the key industry players has been done to provide insights into their business overview, solutions, and services; key strategies; contracts, partnerships, agreements, mergers & acquisitions; and recent developments associated with the geothermal energy market.
Key Benefits of Buying the Report
Analysis of key drivers (Surging demand for ground source/geothermal heat pumps, Favorable government policies and initiatives, Use of geothermal energy for power generation, and Global focus on addressing climate crisis and reducing greenhouse gas emissions), restraints (High growth of solar, wind, gas, and other alternative renewable energy source, Lack of exploration and drilling techniques required to identify and develop undiscovered geothermal resources, Expensive geothermal well drilling leading to high upfront project costs.), opportunities (Emergence of advanced technologies, Geothermal potential for low- and medium-temperature resources, Mineral extraction using geothermal energy) and challenges (Multiple environmental reviews and assessments associated with geothermal projects, Absence of geothermal professionals, consultants, and businesses) influencing the growth of the geothermal energy market.
Product Development/Innovation: Rapid development and innovation in geothermal energy, particularly through advancements in Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS), closed-loop, and supercritical geothermal technologies, expand access to the Earth's heat resources. European projects like EnBW's CASCADE, recognized for pioneering lithium extraction from geothermal brines, demonstrate how geothermal can simultaneously support energy and critical mineral supply chains. Innovations in the oil & gas sector, such as repurposing hydrocarbon wells for geothermal heating and improving drilling efficiency with advanced cooling techniques, are lowering costs and accelerating deployment. These breakthroughs position geothermal as a reliable, sustainable, and versatile solution for decarbonization and energy security.
Market Development: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd. (Japan), via its Mitsubishi Power division, secured a contract in October 2024 to retrofit the Darajat Geothermal Power Plant in Indonesia with a new steam turbine, boosting its output from 121 to 129 MW.
Market Diversification: Ormat Technologies completed its acquisition of the Blue Mountain geothermal power plant (20 MW) in Nevada from Cyrq Energy for USD 88 million in June 2025, a move that immediately strengthens its electricity generation portfolio. The plant, originally built with Ormat technology, currently operates under a power purchase agreement with NV Energy, which is set to expire at the end of 2029. Competitive Assessment: In-depth assessment of market shares, growth strategies, and service offerings of leading players, such as Ormat (US), MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD. (Japan), GE Vernova (US), Ansaldo Energia (Italy), Fuji Electric Co., Ltd. (Japan), Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corporation (Japan), Siemens AG (Germany), EXERGY INTERNATIONAL SRL (Italy), SLB (US), Halliburton (US), NOV (US), Weatherford (US), WELLTEC (Denmark), MANNVIT (Iceland), and NIBE Group (Sweden), are conducted.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES
1.2 MARKET DEFINITION
1.3 MARKET SCOPE
1.3.1 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET: SEGMENTATION
1.4 INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS
1.4.1 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY: INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS
1.4.2 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY TEMPERATURE: INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS
1.4.3 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY APPLICATION: INCLUSIONS & EXCLUSIONS
1.5 YEARS CONSIDERED
1.6 UNIT CONSIDERED
1.7 CURRENCY CONSIDERED
1.8 SUMMARY OF CHANGES
1.9 LIMITATIONS
1.10 STAKEHOLDERS
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2.1 RESEARCH DATA
2.2 MARKET BREAKDOWN AND DATA TRIANGULATION
2.2.1 SECONDARY DATA
2.2.1.1 Key data from secondary sources
2.2.2 PRIMARY DATA
2.2.2.1 Key data from primary sources
2.2.2.2 Breakdown of primaries
2.3 SCOPE
2.4 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION
2.4.1 DEMAND-SIDE ANALYSIS
2.4.1.1 Calculation
2.4.1.2 Assumptions
2.4.2 SUPPLY-SIDE ANALYSIS
2.4.3 FORECAST
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS
4.1 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES FOR GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET PLAYERS
4.2 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY REGION
4.3 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY
4.4 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY TEMPERATURE
4.5 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET, BY APPLICATION
5 MARKET OVERVIEW
5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.2 MARKET DYNAMICS
5.2.1 DRIVERS
5.2.1.1 Surging demand for ground source/geothermal heat pumps
5.2.1.2 Government policies and initiatives
5.2.1.3 Use of geothermal energy for power generation
5.2.2 RESTRAINTS
5.2.2.1 Growing use of solar, wind, gas, and other alternative renewable energy sources
5.2.2.2 Limited exploration and drilling techniques to identify and develop undiscovered geothermal resources
5.2.2.3 Expensive geothermal well drilling, leading to high upfront project costs
5.2.3 OPPORTUNITIES
5.2.3.1 Co-production and conversion of oil & gas wells for geothermal energy
5.2.3.2 Geothermal potential for low- and medium-temperature resources
5.2.3.3 Decarbonization and energy security
5.2.4 CHALLENGES
5.2.4.1 Resource uncertainty and exploration risk
5.2.4.2 Absence of geothermal professionals, consultants, and businesses
5.3 TRENDS/DISRUPTIONS IMPACTING CUSTOMER BUSINESS
5.3.1 REVENUE SHIFTS AND NEW REVENUE POCKETS FOR GEOTHERMAL ENERGY SYSTEM PROVIDERS
5.4 ECOSYSTEM ANALYSIS
5.5 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS
5.5.1 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS OF GEOTHERMAL COMBINED HEAT AND POWER GENERATION
5.5.1.1 Exploration & feasibility
5.5.1.2 Development
5.5.1.3 Drilling
5.5.1.4 Front-end engineering and design (FEED)
5.5.1.5 Manufacturing
5.5.1.6 Construction/Engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC)
5.5.1.7 Operations and maintenance
5.5.2 SUPPLY CHAIN ANALYSIS OF GEOTHERMAL ENERGY MARKET FOR GROUND SOURCE/GEOTHERMAL HEAT PUMPS
5.5.2.1 Raw material suppliers
5.5.2.2 Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)
5.5.2.3 Distributors
5.5.2.4 End users
5.6 KEY CONFERENCES & EVENTS, 2025-2026
5.7 REGULATORY LANDSCAPE
5.7.1 CODES, POLICIES, AND REGULATIONS RELATED TO GEOTHERMAL ENERGY SYSTEMS
5.7.2 REGULATORY BODIES, GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, AND OTHER ORGANIZATIONS
5.8 PATENT ANALYSIS
5.9 PORTER'S FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
5.9.1 THREAT OF SUBSTITUTES
5.9.2 BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS
5.9.3 BARGAINING POWER OF BUYERS
5.9.4 THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS
5.9.5 INTENSITY OF COMPETITIVE RIVALRY
5.10 CASE STUDY ANALYSIS
5.10.1 NEED FOR PRECISE RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT
5.10.1.1 Problem statement
5.10.1.2 Solution
5.10.2 ELDERLY ACCOMMODATION CENTER IN MEUNG SUR LOIRE, FRANCE, USES GEOTHERMAL ENERGY FOR HEATING AND COOLING
5.10.2.1 Problem statement
5.10.2.2 Solution
5.10.3 FEASIBILITY OF GEOTHERMAL POWER IN NEW MARKETS AND CONTRIBUTION TO LOCAL DECARBONIZATION