세계의 자율주행 열차 시장 예측(-2030년) : 자동화 레벨별, 기술별, 용도·컴포넌트·열차 유형별, 선로장별, GOA4 시스템별, 지역별
Autonomous Train Market by Level of Automation (GOAI, GOA2, GOA3, GOA4), Technology (CBTC, ERTMS, ATC, PTC), Application, Component, Train Type (Metro, Light Rail, Bullet Train/HSR), Track Length, GOA 4 Systems and Region - Global Forecast to 2030
상품코드:1448849
리서치사:MarketsandMarkets
발행일:2024년 03월
페이지 정보:영문 256 Pages
라이선스 & 가격 (부가세 별도)
ㅁ Add-on 가능: 고객의 요청에 따라 일정한 범위 내에서 Customization이 가능합니다. 자세한 사항은 문의해 주시기 바랍니다.
한글목차
세계의 자율주행 열차 시장 규모는 예측 기간 중 5.7%의 CAGR로 추이하며, 2024년 136억 달러에서 2030년에는 189억 달러 규모로 성장할 것으로 예측됩니다.
도시화의 진전과 효율적인 대중교통 시스템에 대한 수요 증가로 인해 도시 지역의 대중교통 솔루션으로 자율주행 열차의 도입이 가속화되고 있습니다. 유럽과 북미를 포함한 선진 지역에서는 구식 시스템 대신 새로운 첨단 시스템을 도입하거나 기존 열차를 개조해 철도의 안전성을 향상시키고 있습니다. 자율주행열차 운행에 필수적인 센서와 통신망 등 철도 인프라의 업그레이드와 확장을 위한 정부의 투자도 안전하고 효율적인 교통수단으로서 자율주행열차 시장을 촉진하고 있습니다.
조사 범위
조사 대상년
2024-2030년
기준년
2023년
예측 기간
2024-2030년
단위
금액(달러)
부문
자동화 레벨·기술·용도·컴포넌트·열차 유형·선로장· GOA4 시스템·지역
대상 지역
아시아태평양·유럽·북미·중동 & 아프리카·기타 지역
예측 기간 중 여객 열차 부문이 시장을 선도할 전망 :
여객 열차 부문은 자율주행열차 시장에서 용도별로 가장 큰 규모를 나타낼 것으로 예측됩니다. 자율주행 여객 열차는 안전성 향상, 운영 효율성 개선, 승객 경험 개선, 소요 시간 단축 및 지연 감소로 인한 신뢰성 있고 효율적인 운송 수단 등 다양한 이점을 제공합니다. 또한 철도 관리 시스템을 통합할 것으로 예측 유지보수, 스케줄링 개선, 실시간 열차 상태 모니터링 등 다양한 기능을 통해 원활하고 쾌적한 이동을 보장할 수 있습니다. 효율적이고 지속가능한 운송에 대한 수요가 증가함에 따라 철도 산업은 자율주행 여객열차 시장이 더욱 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
지역별로는 중동 및 아프리카가 가장 급성장하는 지역이 될 전망 :
중동 및 아프리카는 철도 운송에서 높은 성장 기회를 가지고 있습니다. 두바이는 세계에서 가장 진보된 대중교통 시스템을 보유하고 있으며, 세계에서 가장 긴 완전 자동화된 지하철과 지하철, 버스, 해상 운송 등 모든 대중교통은 전용 스마트카드와 NOI(Net Operating Income) 카드로 구성되어 있습니다.
세계의 자율주행 열차 시장을 조사했으며, 시장 개요, 시장 영향요인 및 시장 기회의 분석, 기술·특허의 동향, 법규제 환경, 사례 연구, 시장 규모의 추이·예측, 각종 구분·지역별 상세 분석, 경쟁 구도, 주요 기업의 개요 등을 정리하여 전해드립니다.
목차
제1장 서론
제2장 조사 방법
제3장 주요 요약
제4장 중요 인사이트
제5장 시장 개요
시장 역학
촉진요인
억제요인
기회
과제
가격 분석
에코시스템 분석
밸류체인 분석
사례 연구 분석
투자와 자금조달 시나리오
특허 분석
기술 분석
무역 분석
규제 상황
주요 컨퍼런스와 이벤트
고객의 비즈니스에 영향을 미치는 동향과 디스럽션
주요 이해관계자와 구입 기준
제6장 자율주행 열차 시장 : GOA4 시스템별
아시아태평양
유럽
북미
제7장 자율주행 열차 시장 : GOA별
GOA1
GOA2
GOA3
GOA4
주요 인사이트
제8장 자율주행 열차 시장 : 열차 유형별
메트로/모노레일
라이트 레일
고속철도·고속 열차
주요 인사이트
제9장 자율주행 열차 시장 : 기술별
PTC(POSITIVE TRAIN CONTROL)
CBTC(COMMUNICATIONS-BASED TRAIN CONTROL)
ATC(AUTOMATED TRAIN CONTROL)
ERTMS(EUROPEAN RAILWAY TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYSTEM)
주요 인사이트
제10장 자율주행 열차 시장 : 용도별
여객 열차
화물열차
주요 인사이트
제11장 자율주행 열차 시장 : 컴포넌트별
태코미터
도플러
가속도계
카메라
안테나
라디오 세트
ODOMETER
레이더
라이다
주요 인사이트
제12장 자율주행 열차 시장 : 지역별
아시아태평양
유럽
북미
중동 및 아프리카
기타 지역
제13장 경쟁 구도
개요
상위 상장기업/일반 기업 매출 분석
시장 점유율 분석
기업 평가와 재무 지표
기업 평가 매트릭스
스타트업/중소기업의 평가 매트릭스
경쟁 시나리오
제14장 기업 개요
주요 기업
ALSTOM SA
SIEMENS
HITACHI LTD.
WABTEC CORPORATION
THALES GROUP
MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES
CRCC
ABB
CAF
NOKIA
기타 기업
BEIJING TRAFFIC CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
TECH MAHINDRA LTD.
HOLLYSYS
DEUTSCHE BAHN
DEUTA
BELDEN
AMERICAN EQUIPMENT COMPANY
INGETEAM
TRANSMASHHOLDING
TVEMA
KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES
CALAMP
제15장 부록
KSA
영문 목차
영문목차
The global autonomous train market is estimated at USD 13.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2024 to 2030, to reach USD 18.9 billion by 2030. Growing urbanization and increasing demand for efficient public transportation systems drive the adoption of autonomous trains as a solution for mass transit in urban areas. These trains also offer improved passenger comfort. Developed regions, including Europe and North America, are upgrading the security of their railroads by installing new and sophisticated systems in place of outdated ones and retrofitting existing trains. For instance, in 2021 Alstom SA was given a contract by the Baden-Wuerttemberg State Institute for Rail Vehicles (SFBW) in 2021 to retrofit 118 regional trains with the European Train Control System (ETCS) Automatic Train Operation (ATO) digital signaling technology. The investment required for this project is USD 154 million. Autonomous trains are made safer by technologies like Positive Train Control (PTC), Communication/Computer-based Train Control (CBTC), Automated Train Control (ATC), and the European Railway Traffic Management System (ERTMS) which had boost autonomous train a safer mode of transportation. For instance, In March 2023, Parallel Systems (US) developed a distinctive train control system that is interoperable with the current PTC (positive train control) systems, which are meant to prevent overspeed derailments and train-to-train collisions. Government investment in upgrading and expanding railway infrastructure, like sensors and communication networks, which are essential for autonomous train operations drive the autonomous train market as a safe, and efficient mode of transportation.
Scope of the Report
Years Considered for the Study
2024-2030
Base Year
2023
Forecast Period
2024-2030
Units Considered
Value (USD Billion)
Segments
Level of Automation, Technology, Application, Component, Train Type, Track Length, GOA 4 Systems and Region
Regions covered
Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, Middle East & Africa and Rest of the World
"Passenger train segment is estimated to lead the market during the forecast period."
The passenger train segment is estimated to account for the largest market size of autonomous train market by application. A passenger train consist of unpowered passenger coaches or carriages that are driven by one or more locomotives. Passenger trains include multiple variants of trains used in urban transit as well as trains for intercity commutes. Trains used in urban transit include metros, monorails, and trams. Metro rail, also known as Mass Rapid Transport System (MRTS), is powered by electricity and requires one-fifth of energy per commutator km compared to road-based transport systems. A tram is an urban public transport that uses rolling stock such as tramways. It operates at a higher capacity and on an exclusive right-of-way. Intercity trains are the ones with limited stops to provide fast, long-distance travel. These trains connect cities and link major population hubs in the fastest time possible.
Autonomous passenger train offers various benefits including better safety, more operational effectiveness, enhanced passenger experience, and a dependable, efficient form of transportation with shorter journey times and fewer delays. Additionally, a smooth and comfortable travel is ensured by the integration of a railroad management system, which makes possible a number of features including predictive maintenance, improved scheduling, and real-time train condition monitoring. With the growing demand for efficient and sustainable transportation train industry is expected to witness the further growth in the autonomous passenger train market.
"Middle East and Africa to be the fastest growing region in the autonomous train market globally."
The Middle East and Africa region possesses high growth opportunities for railway transportation. Dubai has the most progressive public transportation system in the world, as it comprises the world's longest and most fully automated metro, along with smart cards and Net Operating Income (NOI) cards for all public transport, such as metros, buses, and marine transport.
Rapid urbanization has caused the population to migrate to cities and towns. These trends have led to a rise in problems of traffic congestion and high traffic volumes. In January 2024, the Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) signed two memorandum of understanding (MoU) with international companies during the Dubai International Project Management Forum (DIPMF), which includes a solar-powered rail bus system and a lightweight, driverless, smart train that resembles a "platoon of pods."
Population growth in the Middle East has urged the governments of the countries in the region to develop all sectors of the economy, especially transportation. Government regulations and investments in rail technology are driving the autonomous train market in the Middle East & Africa. In January 2022, Hitachi Ltd. awarded a contract from Saudi Arabia to design and develop and maintain the metro line in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The deal is valued at USD 82.29 million, and the rail infrastructure includes four elevated lines that stretch for 11.5 km and pass through 14 stations. Thus, Government investment from Middle East and Africa, and strategic partnership is expected to drive the autonomous train market.
In-depth interviews were conducted with CEOs, marketing directors, other innovation and technology directors, and executives from various key organizations operating in this market.
By Company Type: OEMs - 57%, Tier I - 29%, and Tier II - 14%
By Designation: CXOs - 54%, Directors - 32%, and Others - 14%
By Region: North America - 14%, Europe - 12%, Asia Pacific - 57%, Rest of the World- 10% and Middle East- 7%
Alstom SA (France), Siemens AG (Germany), Hitachi Ltd (Japan), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) (US), and Thales Group (France) are the leading players operating in the autonomous train market.
Research Coverage:
The market study covers the autonomous train market across segments. It aims at estimating the market size and future growth potential of this market across different segments such as by Level of Automation, Train Type, Technology, Application, Component, GoA 4 Systems and Region.
The study also includes an in-depth competitive analysis of the key players in the market, along with their company profiles, key observations related to product and business offerings, recent developments, and key market strategies.
Key Benefits of Buying the Report:
The report will help market leaders/new entrants in this market with information on the closest approximations of revenue and volume numbers for the overall autonomous train market and its subsegments.
Analysis of key drivers (Increased operational safety benefits, Increased budget allocations along with upcoming rail projects, Low energy consumption and operational costs of autonomous trains), restraints (Lack of technology infrastructure and interoperability in emerging economies, High initial investment, Slow growth rate and inadequate infrastructure spending in emerging economies ), challenges (Inability of DTO systems to carry out required protection functions during emergency situations and lack of human intervention), and opportunities (Transforming mining logistics with autonomous trains), influencing the growth of autonomous train market.
Product Development/Innovation: Detailed insights on upcoming technologies, research & development activities, investments, and new product & service launches in the autonomous train market. This report will help stakeholders understand the competitive landscape and gain more insights to better position their businesses and plan suitable go-to-market strategies.
Market Development: Comprehensive information about lucrative markets - the report analysis the autonomous train market across varied regions.
Market Diversification: Exhaustive information about new products & services, untapped geographies, recent developments, and investments in the autonomous train market.
Competitive Assessment: In-depth assessment of market ranking, growth strategies, and product offerings of leading players like Alstom SA (France), Siemens AG (Germany), Hitachi Ltd. (Japan), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (Wabtec) (US), and Thales Group (France).
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 STUDY OBJECTIVES
1.2 MARKET DEFINITION
1.2.1 MARKET DEFINITION, BY TRAIN TYPE
1.2.2 MARKET DEFINITION, BY GRADE OF AUTOMATION (GOA)
1.2.3 MARKET DEFINITION, BY TECHNOLOGY
1.3 INCLUSIONS AND EXCLUSIONS
1.4 STUDY SCOPE
1.4.1 MARKET SEGMENTATION
1.4.2 REGIONS COVERED
1.4.3 YEARS CONSIDERED
1.5 CURRENCY CONSIDERED
1.6 UNIT CONSIDERED
TABLE 1 CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES
1.7 STAKEHOLDERS
1.8 SUMMARY OF CHANGES
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2.1 RESEARCH DATA
FIGURE 1 RESEARCH DESIGN
FIGURE 2 RESEARCH PROCESS FLOW
2.1.1 SECONDARY DATA
2.1.1.1 Secondary sources
2.1.1.2 Key data from secondary sources
2.1.2 PRIMARY DATA
TABLE 2 LIST OF PARTICIPATING COMPANIES FOR PRIMARY RESEARCH
2.1.2.1 Key industry insights
FIGURE 3 BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY INTERVIEWS
2.1.3 SAMPLING TECHNIQUES AND DATA COLLECTION METHODS
2.2 MARKET SIZE ESTIMATION
2.2.1 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH
FIGURE 4 BOTTOM-UP APPROACH
2.2.2 TOP-DOWN APPROACH
FIGURE 5 TOP-DOWN APPROACH
FIGURE 6 DEMAND-SIDE APPROACH
2.3 DATA TRIANGULATION
FIGURE 7 DATA TRIANGULATION
2.4 FACTOR ANALYSIS
2.4.1 FACTOR ANALYSIS FOR MARKET SIZING: DEMAND AND SUPPLY SIDES
2.5 RESEARCH ASSUMPTIONS
2.6 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS
2.7 RECESSION IMPACT
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
FIGURE 8 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET OUTLOOK
FIGURE 9 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY, 2024 VS. 2030 (USD MILLION)
FIGURE 10 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
FIGURE 11 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY REGION, 2024 VS. 2030 (UNITS)
4 PREMIUM INSIGHTS
4.1 ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES FOR PLAYERS IN AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET
FIGURE 12 ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES AND INCREASING GOVERNMENT INVESTMENTS TO DRIVE MARKET
4.2 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY REGION
FIGURE 13 ASIA PACIFIC TO ACCOUNT FOR LARGEST MARKET SHARE IN 2024
4.3 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY TECHNOLOGY
FIGURE 14 CBTC TO GAIN LARGEST MARKET SHARE DURING FORECAST PERIOD
4.4 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY APPLICATION
FIGURE 15 PASSENGER TRAIN TO BE LARGER APPLICATION SEGMENT DURING FORECAST PERIOD
4.5 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY TRAIN TYPE
FIGURE 16 METRO/MONORAIL SEGMENT TO LEAD AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET DURING FORECAST PERIOD
4.6 AUTONOMOUS TRAIN MARKET, BY GOA
FIGURE 17 GOA2 TO BE LARGEST SEGMENT DURING FORECAST PERIOD
TABLE 152 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: COMPANY OVERVIEW
FIGURE 53 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
TABLE 153 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
TABLE 154 MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
14.1.7 CRCC
TABLE 155 CRCC: COMPANY OVERVIEW
FIGURE 54 CRCC: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
TABLE 156 CRCC: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
TABLE 157 CRCC: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
TABLE 158 CRCC: DEALS
TABLE 159 CRCC: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
14.1.8 ABB
TABLE 160 ABB: COMPANY OVERVIEW
FIGURE 55 ABB: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
TABLE 161 ABB: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
TABLE 162 ABB: DEALS
TABLE 163 ABB: EXPANSIONS
14.1.9 CAF
TABLE 164 CAF: COMPANY OVERVIEW
FIGURE 56 CAF: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
TABLE 165 CAF: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
TABLE 166 CAF: OTHER DEVELOPMENTS
14.1.10 NOKIA
TABLE 167 NOKIA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
FIGURE 57 NOKIA: COMPANY SNAPSHOT
TABLE 168 NOKIA: PRODUCTS/SOLUTIONS OFFERED
TABLE 169 NOKIA: PRODUCT LAUNCHES/DEVELOPMENTS
TABLE 170 NOKIA: DEALS
14.2 OTHER KEY PLAYERS
14.2.1 BEIJING TRAFFIC CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
TABLE 171 BEIJING TRAFFIC CONTROL TECHNOLOGY: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.2 TECH MAHINDRA LTD.
TABLE 172 TECH MAHINDRA LTD.: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.3 HOLLYSYS
TABLE 173 HOLLYSYS: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.4 DEUTSCHE BAHN
TABLE 174 DEUTSCHE BAHN: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.5 DEUTA
TABLE 175 DEUTA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.6 BELDEN
TABLE 176 BELDEN: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.7 AMERICAN EQUIPMENT COMPANY
TABLE 177 AMERICAN EQUIPMENT COMPANY: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.8 INGETEAM
TABLE 178 INGETEAM: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.9 TRANSMASHHOLDING
TABLE 179 TRANSMASHHOLDING: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.10 TVEMA
TABLE 180 TVEMA: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.11 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES
TABLE 181 KAWASAKI HEAVY INDUSTRIES: COMPANY OVERVIEW
14.2.12 CALAMP
TABLE 182 CALAMP: COMPANY OVERVIEW
*Details on Business Overview, Products Offered, Recent Developments, MnM View, Right to win, Strategic choices made, Weaknesses and competitive threats might not be captured in case of unlisted companies.
