세계의 기유 시장 보고서(2025년)
Base Oil Global Market Report 2025
상품코드 : 1774603
리서치사 : The Business Research Company
발행일 : On Demand Report
페이지 정보 : 영문 250 Pages
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한글목차

기유 시장 규모는 향후 몇 년 동안 안정적인 성장을 보일 것으로 예상되며, 2029년에는 5.0%의 CAGR로 432억 4,000만 달러에 달할 것으로 예상됩니다. 예측 기간 동안의 성장은 재생 가능한 바이오 기반 윤활유, 아시아태평양의 우위, 연구 개발, 공급망의 세계화에 기인합니다. 예측 기간 동안 주요 동향으로는 그룹 II 및 그룹 III 기유로 전환, 특수 윤활유 및 고성능 윤활유에 대한 집중, 디지털화 및 인더스트리 4.0의 영향, 협업 및 파트너십 등이 있습니다.

향후 5년간 5.0%의 성장률 예측은 지난번 예측보다 0.1% 소폭 하락한 수치입니다. 이 감소는 주로 미국과 다른 국가들 간의 관세 영향에 기인합니다. 이 영향은 한국과 아랍에미리트에서 그룹 II 및 III 기유의 수입 중단으로 미국에 직접적으로 영향을 미치고, 윤활유 제조업체와 자동차 공급망에 영향을 미칠 가능성이 높습니다. 또한, 상호 관세와 무역 긴장과 규제 강화로 인한 세계 경제와 무역에 미치는 악영향은 더욱 광범위할 것으로 예상됩니다.

자동차 산업의 확장은 향후 몇 년 동안 기유 시장의 성장을 견인할 것으로 예상됩니다. 첨단 엔진 기술로 인해 고속으로 움직이는 부품과 고온에 대한 적합성을 보장하는 모터 오일 및 윤활 그리스에 대한 수요가 증가하고 있습니다. 또한, 고품질 기유와 우수한 첨가제 기술을 결합하여 점도를 유지하고 엔진 마모를 최소화하며 신뢰성을 향상시키는 엔진 오일을 생산합니다. 자동차 기유는 자동차, 오토바이, 잔디깎기기계, 발전기 및 기타 다양한 장비의 동력원인 내연기관용 유체 역할을 합니다. 예를 들어, 2024년 8월 벨기에에 본부를 둔 유럽자동차공업협회는 2024년 1-7월 신차 등록대수가 3.9% 증가하여 650만 대를 돌파했다고 보고했습니다. 유럽연합(EU) 최대 시장인 스페인(5.6% 증가), 이탈리아(5.2% 증가), 독일(4.3% 증가), 프랑스(2.2% 증가)의 증가로 완만한 성장세를 보였습니다. 이처럼 자동차 산업의 성장이 향후 기유 시장을 견인할 것으로 예상됩니다.

목차

제1장 주요 요약

제2장 시장 특징

제3장 시장 동향과 전략

제4장 시장 : 금리, 인플레이션, 지정학, 무역 전쟁과 관세, 그리고 코로나와 회복이 시장에 미치는 영향을 포함한 거시경제 시나리오

제5장 세계의 성장 분석과 전략 분석 프레임워크

제6장 시장 세분화

제7장 지역별·국가별 분석

제8장 아시아태평양 시장

제9장 중국 시장

제10장 인도 시장

제11장 일본 시장

제12장 호주 시장

제13장 인도네시아 시장

제14장 한국 시장

제15장 서유럽 시장

제16장 영국 시장

제17장 독일 시장

제18장 프랑스 시장

제19장 이탈리아 시장

제20장 스페인 시장

제21장 동유럽 시장

제22장 러시아 시장

제23장 북미 시장

제24장 미국 시장

제25장 캐나다 시장

제26장 남미 시장

제27장 브라질 시장

제28장 중동 시장

제29장 아프리카 시장

제30장 경쟁 구도와 기업 개요

제31장 기타 주요 기업과 혁신적 기업

제32장 세계의 시장 경쟁 벤치마킹과 대시보드

제33장 주요 인수합병

제34장 최근의 시장 동향

제35장 시장 잠재력이 높은 국가, 부문, 전략

제36장 부록

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영문 목차

영문목차

Base oil is classified as hydrocarbons with 18 to 40 carbon atoms that have a boiling point between 550 and 1050 F. The various products such as lubricating oils, motor oil, metal processing fluids, and others are manufactured with the help of base oils.

The main types of base oil are mineral, synthetic, and biobased. The mineral oil is produced from a highly refined variant of ground-based oil. Mineral oils are widely utilized by classic and vintage automobile owners, in part as synthetic oils have a lower viscosity, which enhances the risk of leaks in older engines. The different groups include Group I, Group II, Group III, Group IV, and Group V and is used in automotive oil, industrial oil, metalworking fluid, greases, hydraulic oil, and others.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report's Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

The sharp rise in U.S. tariffs and ensuing trade tensions in spring 2025 are heavily impacting the oil and gas industry, especially in areas such as exploration equipment, pipeline development, and refining operations. Increased import duties on drilling rigs, steel pipes, and specialized machinery have significantly raised capital expenditures across both upstream and downstream segments. Midstream players are grappling with cost surges for essential components like valves, compressors, and storage tanks, causing delays and disruptions in expansion projects. Refiners, meanwhile, are contending with higher expenses for imported catalysts and control systems critical to operational efficiency. In addition, retaliatory tariffs from major trade partners have curtailed U.S. exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude oil, reducing global competitiveness. In response, companies are ramping up investments in domestic manufacturing alliances, digital asset management tools, and diversified energy portfolios to maintain resilience and protect profitability.

The base oil market research report is one of a series of new reports from The Business Research Company that provides base oil market statistics, including base oil industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a base oil market share, detailed base oil market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the base oil industry. This base oil market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.

The base oil market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $33.54 billion in 2024 to $35.59 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to industrial growth, automotive sector expansion, globalization, regulatory standards.

The base oil market size is expected to see steady growth in the next few years. It will grow to $43.24 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.0%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to renewable and bio-based lubricants, Asia-pacific dominance, research and development, globalization of supply chains. Major trends in the forecast period include shift towards group ii and group iii base oils, focus on specialty and high-performance lubricants, digitalization and industry 4.0 impact, collaborations and partnerships.

The forecast of 5.0% growth over the next five years indicates a slight reduction of 0.1% from the previous projection.This reduction is primarily due to the impact of tariffs between the US and other countries. This is likely to directly affect the US through disrupted imports of Group II and III base oils from South Korea and the UAE, affecting lubricant manufacturers and automotive supply chains.The effect will also be felt more widely due to reciprocal tariffs and the negative effect on the global economy and trade due to increased trade tensions and restrictions.

The expanding automotive industry is anticipated to drive the growth of the base oil market in the upcoming years. Advanced engine technologies are increasing the demand for motor oils and lubricating greases that ensure compatibility with fast-moving components and high temperatures. Additionally, high-quality base oils combined with superior additive technology produce engine oils that maintain viscosity, minimize engine wear, and enhance reliability. Automotive base oil serves as a fluid for internal combustion engines powering automobiles, motorcycles, lawnmowers, generators, and various other equipment. For example, in August 2024, the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, based in Belgium, reported that new car registrations rose by 3.9% in the first seven months of 2024, surpassing 6.5 million units. The largest markets in the European Union showed positive yet modest growth, with increases in Spain (+5.6%), Italy (+5.2%), Germany (+4.3%), and France (+2.2%). Thus, the growth of the automotive industry is expected to boost the base oil market in the future.

Rapid industrialization is anticipated to drive the growth of the base oil market in the coming years. Industrialization is the transition of an economy from being primarily agrarian and reliant on manual labor to one characterized by mechanized, large-scale manufacturing and production processes. As industrialization advances, the demand for lubricants rises significantly across various sectors, including manufacturing, construction, and transportation. Base oils are essential in formulating lubricants, and their demand increases alongside the need for lubrication solutions. For instance, a report published in July 2023 by Statistics Canada, a government agency, indicated that approximately 19.5% of businesses in the manufacturing sector intended to expand their operations or locations within the next 12 months. This figure is more than double the percentage observed in the arts, entertainment, and recreation sector (8.2%) and nearly triple the overall business average (6.7%). Furthermore, nearly 9.0% of manufacturing businesses planned to expand to other locations within the same province, a figure comparable to those in administrative and support, waste management, and remediation services (9.1%). Additionally, over 5.5% of manufacturing businesses expressed plans for international expansion, with similar aspirations noted by 5.3% of businesses in arts, entertainment, and recreation, and 4.5% in wholesale trade. Thus, rapid industrialization is propelling the growth of the base oil market.

Major companies operating in the base oil market are focused on developing new technologies, such as a new product family of lubricants called Neste ReNew, to increase their profitability in the market. Neste ReNew is a new family of lubricants introduced by Neste as a renewable and circular solution. Neste's commitment to sustainability and reducing carbon emissions has led to the development of innovative products such as Neste ReNew Base Oil, which aims to provide a more environmentally friendly alternative to traditional base oils used in lubricant production. These renewable base oils contribute to a more sustainable and eco-friendly approach in the lubricants industry by offering high-quality performance while reducing environmental impact. For instance, in February 2023, Neste, a Finland-based oil refining and marketing company, introduced new and more sustainable lubricants produced with renewable or re-refined base oils. These lubricants are designed to be environmentally sustainable and contribute to reducing carbon emissions. They are produced from renewable and sustainable feedstocks, such as vegetable oils and animal fats, as opposed to conventional petroleum-based feedstocks.

Major companies operating in the base oil market are focused on innovating new technologies, such as Oxlube L7-NPG ester base oil for EV (Electric vehicle) fluids, to increase their profitability in the market. Oxlube L7-NPG is a type of ester-based oil specifically designed for use in electric vehicle (EV) fluids. It is designed to improve the performance and efficiency of EVs by providing efficient heat transfer, conductivity, and lubrication. For instance, in September 2022, OQ Chemicals, a Germany-based chemical company that specializes in producing a wide range of chemicals used in various industries, launched Oxlube L7-NPG ester base oil for EV fluids. It has excellent thermal stability, meaning it can withstand high temperatures without degrading.

In April 2022, Chevron Global Energy Inc., a US-based energy company, acquired Neste Corporation's NEXBASE(TM) brand. The acquisition would place Chevron as a premium supplier of base oils and help it serve customers globally. NESTE is a Finland-based oil refining company and provides base oils through its brand NEXBASE.

Major companies operating in the base oil market include Chevron Corporation, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Shell PLC, Ergon Inc., Neste Oyj, Nynas AB, S-OIL CORPORATION, Sepahan Oil, Repsol S. A., China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SINPOEC), BP PLC, Evonik Industries AG, H&R Group, Saudi Aramco, SK Lubricants Co. Ltd., Dodge, DYM Resources GmbH, Gazprom Neft PJSC, Gulf Petrochem Group, GS Caltex Corporation, Indian Oil Corporation Ltd., The PJSC Lukoil Oil Company, PETRONAS Lubricants International Sdn Bhd, The Philips 66 Company, Petro-Canada Corporation, Infinity Galaxy, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, CNOOC Limited, Eni SpA

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the base oil market in 2024. North America was the second-largest region in the base oil market. The regions covered in the base oil market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa

The countries covered in the base oil market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Italy, Canada, Spain.

The base oil market consists of sales of mineral base oils, vegetable base oils, and synthetic base oils. Values in this market are 'factory gate' values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

Base Oil Global Market Report 2025 from The Business Research Company provides strategists, marketers and senior management with the critical information they need to assess the market.

This report focuses on base oil market which is experiencing strong growth. The report gives a guide to the trends which will be shaping the market over the next ten years and beyond.

Reasons to Purchase

Where is the largest and fastest growing market for base oil ? How does the market relate to the overall economy, demography and other similar markets? What forces will shape the market going forward, including technological disruption, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer preferences? The base oil market global report from the Business Research Company answers all these questions and many more.

The report covers market characteristics, size and growth, segmentation, regional and country breakdowns, competitive landscape, market shares, trends and strategies for this market. It traces the market's historic and forecast market growth by geography.

The forecasts are made after considering the major factors currently impacting the market. These include the technological advancements such as AI and automation, Russia-Ukraine war, trade tariffs (government-imposed import/export duties), elevated inflation and interest rates.

Scope

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Base Oil Market Characteristics

3. Base Oil Market Trends And Strategies

4. Base Oil Market - Macro Economic Scenario Including The Impact Of Interest Rates, Inflation, Geopolitics, Trade Wars and Tariffs, And Covid And Recovery On The Market

5. Global Base Oil Growth Analysis And Strategic Analysis Framework

6. Base Oil Market Segmentation

7. Base Oil Market Regional And Country Analysis

8. Asia-Pacific Base Oil Market

9. China Base Oil Market

10. India Base Oil Market

11. Japan Base Oil Market

12. Australia Base Oil Market

13. Indonesia Base Oil Market

14. South Korea Base Oil Market

15. Western Europe Base Oil Market

16. UK Base Oil Market

17. Germany Base Oil Market

18. France Base Oil Market

19. Italy Base Oil Market

20. Spain Base Oil Market

21. Eastern Europe Base Oil Market

22. Russia Base Oil Market

23. North America Base Oil Market

24. USA Base Oil Market

25. Canada Base Oil Market

26. South America Base Oil Market

27. Brazil Base Oil Market

28. Middle East Base Oil Market

29. Africa Base Oil Market

30. Base Oil Market Competitive Landscape And Company Profiles

31. Base Oil Market Other Major And Innovative Companies

32. Global Base Oil Market Competitive Benchmarking And Dashboard

33. Key Mergers And Acquisitions In The Base Oil Market

34. Recent Developments In The Base Oil Market

35. Base Oil Market High Potential Countries, Segments and Strategies

36. Appendix

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