세계의 자율형 군 무기 시장 보고서(2025년)
Autonomous Military Weapons Global Market Report 2025
상품코드 : 1773722
리서치사 : The Business Research Company
발행일 : On Demand Report
페이지 정보 : 영문 175 Pages
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한글목차

자율형 군 무기 시장 규모는 향후 수년간 급성장할 것으로 예상되며, 2029년까지 연평균 10.7%의 성장률(CAGR)로 269억 8,000만 달러에 달할 것으로 예측됩니다. 예측 기간의 성장은 비국가 주체의 채택, 공급망 역학, 여론 및 지지, 지정학적 변화, 산업 경쟁 및 기술 혁신에 기인합니다. 예측 기간의 주요 동향으로는 일반 대중의 인식과 수용, 협력과 제휴, 지정학적 긴장, 윤리적 우려, 비용 효율성 등이 있습니다.

향후 5년간 10.7%의 성장률 전망은 지난번 전망치보다 0.3% 소폭 하락한 수치입니다. 이 감소는 주로 미국과 다른 국가 간의 관세의 영향에 기인합니다. 이는 이스라엘과 미국 등 주요 지역에서 공급되는 AI 조준 시스템 공급망의 혼란을 통해 미국에 직접적으로 영향을 미칠 가능성이 높으며, 스마트 탄약의 배치 지연으로 이어질 수 있습니다. 이 영향은 또한 상호 관세와 무역 긴장 고조 및 제한으로 인한 세계 경제와 무역에 대한 악영향으로 인해 더 광범위하게 느껴질 수 있습니다.

위험한 작업을 정확하게 수행할 수 있는 능력이 자율형 군 무기 시장의 성장을 촉진하고 있습니다. 무기의 자동화를 통해 위험한 작업과 인명에 대한 잠재적 위협으로부터 군인을 보호할 수 있습니다. 또한 의사결정의 반응 속도 향상과 표적에 대한 지속적인 모니터링을 통해 정확도를 크게 향상시킬 수 있습니다. 자율 시스템은 방대한 정보에 접근할 수 있으므로 특정 기능에 대한 정확성과 예측 가능성을 높이고, 단조롭고 반복적인 작업에서 인간을 해방시켜 원격 조작 기술로는 접근할 수 없는 환경에서의 작동을 가능하게 합니다. 미국, 중국, 러시아 등 주요 국가들은 무기용 인공지능(AI)에 많은 투자를 하고 있으며, 이 부문에서 패권을 다투고 있습니다. 예를 들어 2023년 3월 미국 독립기관인 정부회계책임국(GAO)은 2022년 5월 뉴욕주 버팔로에서 인종차별을 동기로 한 총격범이 10명의 목숨을 앗아갔다고 보고했습니다. 지난 10년간 국내 테러 관련 수사는 357%나 급증했습니다. 이 기간 중 두 번째로 많은 사건은 반정부 및 반권력 동기에 의한 폭력적 극단주의로 15명의 사망자가 발생했습니다. 이에 따라 인명 피해를 줄이면서 인력을 통하지 않고 대상에 관여할 수 있는 능력이 자율형 군 무기 시장을 주도할 것으로 예측됩니다.

목차

제1장 개요

제2장 시장의 특징

제3장 시장 동향과 전략

제4장 시장 - 거시경제 시나리오 금리, 인플레이션, 지정학, 무역 전쟁과 관세, Covid와 회복이 시장에 미치는 영향을 포함한 거시경제 시나리오

제5장 세계의 성장 분석과 전략 분석 프레임워크

제6장 시장 세분화

제7장 지역별·국가별 분석

제8장 아시아태평양 시장

제9장 중국 시장

제10장 인도 시장

제11장 일본 시장

제12장 호주 시장

제13장 인도네시아 시장

제14장 한국 시장

제15장 서유럽 시장

제16장 영국 시장

제17장 독일 시장

제18장 프랑스 시장

제19장 이탈리아 시장

제20장 스페인 시장

제21장 동유럽 시장

제22장 러시아 시장

제23장 북미 시장

제24장 미국 시장

제25장 캐나다 시장

제26장 남미 시장

제27장 브라질 시장

제28장 중동 시장

제29장 아프리카 시장

제30장 경쟁 구도와 기업 개요

제31장 기타 대기업과 혁신적 기업

제32장 세계의 시장 경쟁 벤치마킹과 대시보드

제33장 주요 합병과 인수

제34장 최근 시장 동향

제35장 시장의 잠재력이 높은 국가, 전략

제36장 부록

KSA
영문 목차

영문목차

Autonomous military weapons refer to automated military systems that, upon activation, independently carry out tasks such as searching, detecting, evaluating threats, tracking, and attacking enemy targets using sophisticated algorithms. These operations are executed without further intervention by a human operator. The deployment of autonomous military weapons involves the integration of core elements, including a mobile combat platform (such as a drone aircraft, ship, or ground vehicle), various sensors to analyze the surroundings, processing systems to interpret data from the sensors, and algorithms guiding the platform to initiate an attack upon detecting an identified target.

The primary categories of autonomous military weapons are autonomous and semi-autonomous. Autonomous weapons can independently choose and engage targets without requiring human involvement. Products falling under this category include missiles, rockets, guided bombs, target pods, and others, and they are utilized across various platforms, including land-based, airborne, and naval systems.

Note that the outlook for this market is being affected by rapid changes in trade relations and tariffs globally. The report will be updated prior to delivery to reflect the latest status, including revised forecasts and quantified impact analysis. The report's Recommendations and Conclusions sections will be updated to give strategies for entities dealing with the fast-moving international environment.

The sharp increase in U.S. tariffs and resulting trade disputes in spring 2025 are significantly affecting the aerospace and defense sector. Prices for key materials such as titanium, carbon fiber composites, and avionics primarily sourced from international suppliers have surged. Defense contractors, constrained by fixed-price government contracts, are forced to absorb these rising costs. Meanwhile, commercial aerospace companies are encountering resistance from airlines over increased aircraft prices. In addition, customs delays are disrupting already tight production timelines for jets and satellites. In response, the industry is stockpiling essential materials, pursuing import waivers for defense-related goods, and working with allied nations to diversify supply chains.

The autonomous military weapons market research report is one of a series of new reports from The Business Research Company that provides autonomous military weapons market statistics, including global market size, regional shares, competitors with an autonomous military weapons market share, detailed autonomous military weapons market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the autonomous military weapons industry. This autonomous military weapons market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenarios of the industry.

The autonomous military weapons market size has grown strongly in recent years. It will grow from $16.36 billion in 2024 to $17.96 billion in 2025 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.8%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to past conflicts & military strategies, R&D investments over time, regulatory milestones, past budget allocations, successes and failures.

The autonomous military weapons market size is expected to see rapid growth in the next few years. It will grow to $26.98 billion in 2029 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.7%. The growth in the forecast period can be attributed to adoption by non-state actors, supply chain dynamics, public opinion & advocacy, geopolitical shifts, industry competition & innovation. Major trends in the forecast period include public perception and acceptance, collaboration and alliances, geopolitical tensions, ethical concerns, cost efficiency.

The forecast of 10.7% growth over the next five years reflects a modest reduction of 0.3% from the previous estimate for this market.This reduction is primarily due to the impact of tariffs between the US and other countries. This is likely to directly affect the US through supply chain disruptions for AI targeting systems, sourced from key regions such as Israel and the US, which could lead to delays in smart munition deployments.The effect will also be felt more widely due to reciprocal tariffs and the negative effect on the global economy and trade due to increased trade tensions and restrictions.

The capability to execute dangerous tasks with precision has fueled the growth of the autonomous military weapons market. Autonomy in weaponry allows for the protection of military personnel from hazardous tasks or potential threats to human life. Additionally, enhanced reaction speed in decision-making and continuous monitoring of targets can significantly improve accuracy. Autonomous systems have access to a vast amount of information, which leads to increased precision and predictability for specific functions, thus freeing humans from monotonous or repetitive duties and enabling operation in environments that remote control technologies cannot access. Major nations such as the USA, China, and Russia are heavily investing in artificial intelligence (AI) for weaponry and are in competition for dominance in this area. For instance, in March 2023, the Government Accountability Office (GAO), a US-based independent agency, reported that in May 2022, a racially motivated shooter claimed the lives of 10 people in Buffalo, New York. Over the past decade, investigations into domestic terrorism have surged by 357%. The second-largest category of incidents during this period was violent extremism motivated by anti-government or anti-authority sentiments, resulting in 15 deaths. Consequently, the ability to engage targets without human intervention while reducing risks to human life is expected to drive the autonomous military weapons market.

An increase in defense spending is anticipated to drive the growth of the autonomous military weapons market in the future. Defense expenditure includes all current and capital outlays for armed forces, which encompass peacekeeping troops, defense ministries, and other government organizations involved in defense initiatives, as well as paramilitary forces. With elevated defense budgets, military organizations can dedicate more resources to the research, development, and procurement of autonomous military weapons. For example, in December 2022, a report from the UK's Ministry of Defence-a UK-based agency responsible for executing defense policy-indicated that total military expenditures for the fiscal year 2021-2022 amounted to £45.9 billion ($58.35 billion), reflecting a £3.6 billion ($4.57 billion) increase from the previous year. Additionally, total equipment spending for 2021-2022 reached £20.9 billion ($26.57 billion), marking a nominal increase of £2.1 billion ($2.66 billion) over the prior year. Consequently, increased defense expenditure is expected to bolster the autonomous military weapons market.

Concerns regarding the risks associated with autonomous weapons have led researchers and designers to opt against their development, acting as a hindrance to market growth. Approximately 240 AI organizations and 3,100 individuals worldwide have pledged not to participate in the creation of autonomous weapon systems. The global resistance to manufacturing autonomous military weapons poses a significant obstacle to the market's expansion.

Leading companies in the autonomous military weapons market are concentrating on creating innovative products, such as unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs), to deliver dependable services to their clients. UGVs are vehicles that operate on the ground without the presence of a human operator. For example, in February 2023, BAE Systems Australia, an Australia-based company providing various defense and security services, introduced the STRIX hybrid VTOL uncrewed air system. This system can carry munitions for targeted attacks on ground targets, thereby enhancing combat capabilities through air-to-ground strikes. Furthermore, the STRIX is tailored for intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) missions, facilitating real-time data collection and better situational awareness. It can also act as a 'loyal wingman,' working alongside manned aircraft to offer additional support and firepower.

In December 2022, Stellantis N.V., a Netherlands-based automotive manufacturing corporation, purchased aiMotive for an undisclosed sum. This acquisition is anticipated to accelerate Stellantis' transition into a sustainable mobility technology company and assist in the mid-term development of its STLA AutoDrive platform. AiMotive is a Hungary-based developer of an autonomous driving technology platform.

Major companies operating in the autonomous military weapons market include China North Industries Group Corporation Limited, Aviation Industry Corporation of China, Raytheon Technologies Corporation, The Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Airbus Group Inc., Kalashnikov Concern LLC, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, General Dynamics Corporation, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd., Rostec State Corporation, BAE Systems plc, L3Harris Technologies Inc., Thales Group, Textron Inc., Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd., Rheinmetall AG, Elbit Systems Ltd., Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd., Saab AB, Kongsberg Gruppen ASA, Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd., Bharat Electronics Limited, Palantir Technologies Inc., Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc., Denel SOC Ltd., Anduril Industries Inc., Savunma Teknolojileri Muhendislik ve Ticaret A.S.

Asia-Pacific was the largest region in the autonomous military weapons market in 2024. Western Europe is expected to be the fastest-growing region in the autonomous military weapons market share during the forecast period. The regions covered in the autonomous military weapons market report are Asia-Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.

The countries covered in the autonomous military weapons market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain

The autonomous military weapons market consists of sales of auto-operated weapons such as autonomous explosives, and missiles. Values in this market are factory gate values, that is the value of goods sold by the manufacturers or creators of the goods, whether to other entities (including downstream manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, and retailers) or directly to end customers. The value of goods in this market includes related services sold by the creators of the goods.

The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD, unless otherwise specified).

The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.

Autonomous Military Weapons Global Market Report 2025 from The Business Research Company provides strategists, marketers and senior management with the critical information they need to assess the market.

This report focuses on autonomous military weapons market which is experiencing strong growth. The report gives a guide to the trends which will be shaping the market over the next ten years and beyond.

Reasons to Purchase

Where is the largest and fastest growing market for autonomous military weapons? How does the market relate to the overall economy, demography and other similar markets? What forces will shape the market going forward, including technological disruption, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer preferences? The autonomous military weapons market global report from the Business Research Company answers all these questions and many more.

The report covers market characteristics, size and growth, segmentation, regional and country breakdowns, competitive landscape, market shares, trends and strategies for this market. It traces the market's historic and forecast market growth by geography.

The forecasts are made after considering the major factors currently impacting the market. These include the technological advancements such as AI and automation, Russia-Ukraine war, trade tariffs (government-imposed import/export duties), elevated inflation and interest rates.

Scope

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Autonomous Military Weapons Market Characteristics

3. Autonomous Military Weapons Market Trends And Strategies

4. Autonomous Military Weapons Market - Macro Economic Scenario Macro Economic Scenario Including The Impact Of Interest Rates, Inflation, Geopolitics, Trade Wars and Tariffs, And Covid And Recovery On The Market

5. Global Autonomous Military Weapons Growth Analysis And Strategic Analysis Framework

6. Autonomous Military Weapons Market Segmentation

7. Autonomous Military Weapons Market Regional And Country Analysis

8. Asia-Pacific Autonomous Military Weapons Market

9. China Autonomous Military Weapons Market

10. India Autonomous Military Weapons Market

11. Japan Autonomous Military Weapons Market

12. Australia Autonomous Military Weapons Market

13. Indonesia Autonomous Military Weapons Market

14. South Korea Autonomous Military Weapons Market

15. Western Europe Autonomous Military Weapons Market

16. UK Autonomous Military Weapons Market

17. Germany Autonomous Military Weapons Market

18. France Autonomous Military Weapons Market

19. Italy Autonomous Military Weapons Market

20. Spain Autonomous Military Weapons Market

21. Eastern Europe Autonomous Military Weapons Market

22. Russia Autonomous Military Weapons Market

23. North America Autonomous Military Weapons Market

24. USA Autonomous Military Weapons Market

25. Canada Autonomous Military Weapons Market

26. South America Autonomous Military Weapons Market

27. Brazil Autonomous Military Weapons Market

28. Middle East Autonomous Military Weapons Market

29. Africa Autonomous Military Weapons Market

30. Autonomous Military Weapons Market Competitive Landscape And Company Profiles

31. Autonomous Military Weapons Market Other Major And Innovative Companies

32. Global Autonomous Military Weapons Market Competitive Benchmarking And Dashboard

33. Key Mergers And Acquisitions In The Autonomous Military Weapons Market

34. Recent Developments In The Autonomous Military Weapons Market

35. Autonomous Military Weapons Market High Potential Countries, Segments and Strategies

36. Appendix

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