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세계 및 중국의 주행거리 연장형 전기자동차(REEV)/플러그인 하이브리드 전기자동차(PHEV) 시장(2024-2025)
Global and China Range Extended Electric Vehicle (REEV) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Research Report, 2024-2025
상품코드 : 1623328
리서치사 : ResearchInChina
발행일 : 2024년 12월
페이지 정보 : 영문 530 Pages
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한글목차

2024년 전 세계적으로 하이브리드 자동차가 배터리 전기자동차(BEV)를 능가하는 속도로 성장하고, PHEV와 REEV의 판매량이 처음으로 하이브리드 전기자동차(HEV)를 능가했습니다.

2023년 전 세계 하이브리드 자동차(PHEV REV HEV)는 900만 대가 판매되어 전체 자동차 판매량의 10.1%를 차지했으며, 2024년에는 1,200만 대 이상의 하이브리드 자동차가 판매되어 전체 판매량의 13.5% 이상을 차지할 것으로 예상됩니다.

2023년 전 세계 PHEV 및 REEV 판매량은 400만대로 전년 대비 49.8% 급증했으며, 2024년에는 600만대에 달했으며, 2020-2024년 전 세계 PHEV 및 REEV 판매량은 중국 시장의 호황에 힘입어 연간 최대 65%의 높은 성장률을 유지했습니다.

2023년 전 세계 HEV 판매량은 전년 대비 34.4% 증가한 500만 대를 기록했으며, 2024년에는 520만 대에 달할 것으로 예상되며, 2021-2024년 세계 HEV 시장은 연평균 30% 이상의 성장률을 유지할 것으로 예상됩니다.

2024년 1 월부터 9월까지 전 세계 범위 확장 차량(PHEV & REEV)을 포함한 플러그인 하이브리드 차량 판매량은 처음으로 일반 하이브리드 차량(HEV)을 능가했습니다. 2025년에는 PHEV와 REEV가 판매되는 하이브리드 자동차의 주류가 될 것으로 예상됩니다.

하이브리드 자동차

세계 하이브리드 자동차(PHEV & REEV & HEV)의 지역별 판매량에서 중국은 2022년 이후 PHEV와 REEV의 판매량 급증으로 하이브리드 자동차의 주요 시장으로 부상했습니다.

하이브리드 자동차는 높은 열효율, 대형 배터리, 긴 주행거리를 목표로 개발되고 있습니다.

1. PHEV와 REEV의 엔진 열효율은 중국에서 46%에 달합니다.

대부분의 전통적인 연료 자동차는 오토 사이클, 즉 압축비와 팽창비가 동일한 사이클을 사용합니다. 열효율을 더욱 향상시킬 수 있는 가장 확실한 방법은 압축비를 팽창비보다 낮게, 즉 작동 스트로크를 압축 스트로크보다 높게 만드는 것입니다. 이렇게 하면 저회전 영역의 토크를 크게 낮추면서 높은 열효율을 달성할 수 있는 밀러/앳킨슨 사이클을 활용한 하이브리드 전용 엔진이 탄생합니다. 플러그인 하이브리드 시스템에 다른 동력원이 추가되면 플러그인 하이브리드 엔진은 많은 부담을 덜 수 있습니다. 대부분의 하이브리드 시스템의 제어 로직은 공회전이나 저회전 등의 운전 조건을 피하고 비교적 효율적인 범위에서 엔진을 직접 구동할 수 있습니다.

BYD, Geely, Dongfeng, GAC, Great Wall Motor, Chery 등 OEM은 연구개발에 적극적으로 투자하고 있으며, 2025년부터는 열효율 45% 하이브리드 엔진이 대량으로 산업용으로 출시될 것으로 예상되며, 2024년 BYD DM5. .0은 고효율 1.5L/1.5T 하이브리드 엔진을 채택하여 최대 열효율이 46.05%/45.3%에 이르렀습니다.

2. 중국 내 인기 있는 PHEV와 REEV의 파워 배터리 용량이 43kWh를 넘어섰습니다.

2023-2024년 중국 PHEV와 REEV의 배터리 용량은 약 15kWh에서 30kWh로 크게 증가했습니다. 향후 PHEV와 REEV의 개발에서 대형 배터리는 피할 수 없는 추세가 될 것으로 보이며, REEV의 배터리 용량은 PHEV보다 크지만 모두 파워 배터리입니다.

BAIC ROX 01, BYD U8, AITO M9, Voyah FREE, Li L7/L8/L9, Leapmotor C01/C11, Neta S, M-Hero 917 등 장거리 사양의 REEV의 배터리 용량은 43kWh를 초과하며, REEV의 EV 모드 항속거리는 일반적으로 PHEV보다 깁니다.

이 보고서는 세계와 중국의 주행거리 연장형 전기자동차(REEV)/플러그인 하이브리드 전기자동차(PHEV) 시장을 조사 분석하여 시장 현황과 동향, 기술 및 부품 등의 정보를 제공합니다.

목차

제1장 하이브리드 자동차 구조, 정의, 정책

제2장 세계 및 중국의 하이브리드 자동차 시장 현황과 동향

제3장 플러그인 하이브리드 전기자동차(PHEV) 기술과 컴포넌트

제4장 주행거리 연장형 전기자동차(REEV) 기술과 컴포넌트

제5장 하이브리드 전기자동차(HEV) 기술과 컴포넌트

제6장 하이브리드 자동차 제조업체 경로 요약

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영문 목차

영문목차

Research on REEV and PHEV: Head in the direction of high thermal efficiency and large batteries, and there is huge potential for REEVs to go overseas

In 2024, hybrid vehicles grew faster than battery electric vehicles (BEV) globally, and the sales of PHEVs & REEVs surpassed hybrid electric vehicles (HEV) for the first time.

In 2023, 9 million hybrid vehicles (PHEVs+REEVs+HEVs) were sold worldwide, accounting for 10.1% of the total vehicle sales. It is expected that over 12 million hybrid vehicles will be sold in 2024, making up of more than 13.5% of the total sales.

In 2023, 4 million PHEVs & REEVs were sold worldwide, a year-on-year spike of 49.8%. It is estimated that the sales will reach 6 million units in 2024. From 2020 to 2024, the global sales of PHEVs & REEVs sustained a high annual growth rate, up to 65%, thanks to the boom in the Chinese market.

In 2023, 5 million HEVs were sold worldwide, jumping by 34.4% year on year. The sales are expected to hit 5.2 million units in 2024. From 2021 to 2024, the global HEV market maintained an average annual growth rate of over 30%.

From January to September 2024, the global sales of plug-in hybrid vehicles including extended range vehicles (PHEVs & REEVs) exceeded general hybrid vehicles (HEVs) for the first time. Compared with HEVs, PHEVs & REEVs save more energy and are greener, and their prices have been much lower than before. It is expected that PHEVs & REEVs will become mainstream among hybrid vehicles to be sold in 2025.

Hybrid Vehicles

As per the sales of global hybrid vehicles (PHEVs & REEVs & HEVs) by region, China has become the main hybrid vehicle market since 2022 mainly thanks to the surging sales of PHEVs & REEVs.

Hybrid vehicles are developing towards high thermal efficiency, large batteries, and long range.

1.The thermal efficiency of engines for PHEVs & REEVs has reached 46% in China.

Most traditional fuel vehicles use the Otto cycle, that is, a cycle in which the compression ratio is equal to the expansion ratio. The most obvious way to further improve the thermal efficiency is to make the compression ratio lower than the expansion ratio, that is, the working stroke is higher than the compression stroke. Hybrid-specific engines that leverage the Miller/Atkinson cycle which can achieve higher thermal efficiency with much less low-end torque thus come into being. Electronic structures replace conventional mechanical accessories: for other power output sources are added to a plug-in hybrid system, the plug-in hybrid engine is relieved of a lot of burden. The control logic of most hybrid systems will allow engines to run directly in a relatively efficient range, avoiding such operating conditions as idling and low speed.

OEMs like BYD, Geely, Dongfeng, GAC, Great Wall Motor and Chery are vigorously investing in research and development. It is expected that a large number of hybrid engines with 45% thermal efficiency will be ready for industrial application from 2025. In 2024, BYD DM5.0 used a more efficient 1.5L/1.5T hybrid engine, with a maximum thermal efficiency of 46.05%/45.3%.

2.The power battery capacity of China's hot-selling PHEVs & REEVs has exceeded 43kWh.

From 2023 to 2024, the battery capacity of China's PHEVs & REEVs increased a lot, from about 15kWh to 30kWh. In the future, large batteries will become an inevitable trend in the development of PHEVs & REEVs. The battery capacity of REEVs is higher than that of PHEVs, but they are all involved with power batteries.

The battery capacity of the long-range editions of REEVs like BAIC ROX 01, BYD U8, AITO M9, Voyah FREE, Li L7/L8/L9, Leapmotor C01/C11, Neta S, and M-Hero 917 has exceeded 43kWh. The EV mode range of REEVs is generally longer than PHEVs;

The battery capacity of the long-range editions of PHEVs like BYD Denza N8/N9, JAC Refine RF8, Voyah Dreamer/Passion, Chery Jetour Shanhai T2, Great Wall WEY Gaoshan/Blue Mountain has hit more than 43kWh;

Compared with small batteries, large batteries offer greater benefits in application in vehicles:

A large battery is healthier than a small battery in service life: Battery lifespan mainly refers to cycle life, namely the number of charge and discharge cycles the battery can complete before its capacity drops (0%~100%~0%). Because of its low capacity, a small battery will definitely charge and discharge more frequently, while a large battery can dilute the charge and discharge frequency to a certain extent, and its cycle life will be relatively longer.

Higher battery performance: Compared with small batteries, under the same power requirements, the discharge rate of large batteries is lower, which can avoid damage to the materials and structural stability of the batteries during high current discharge.

It is not the better for hybrid vehicle batteries to have larger capacity. Because the weight and cost are also rising, so OEMs have been researching what capacity batteries should be used and what size of engine and motor they should match.

3.The comprehensive range of Chinese PHEVs & REEVs is planned to be 2,000km.

Domestic hybrid models, including BYD, Geely, Chery, Dongfeng, Roewe and many other plug-in hybrids with large fuel tanks, have a range of 2,000 kilometers. BYD DM 5.0 has achieved a comprehensive cruising range of 2,100km+, but it is only priced at RMB100,000, with lower price but longer range. The 2,000-kilometer range has become a new arena for OEMs to complete fiercely.

1. Large fuel tanks: The increase in range is related to larger fuel tanks. For example, Chery EXEED STERRA ET, a medium-to-large SUV, can run 2,141.4 kilometers with a full tank and a full charge. It has a 67L fuel tank and is equipped with a 32kWh battery pack. Chery Fulwin T10, a medium-sized plug-in hybrid SUV, has a 70L fuel tank and a comprehensive range of 1,400km.

2. Higher engine thermal efficiency: The engine thermal efficiency of BYD, GAC, Geely, Dongfeng, Chery and other Chinese OEMs has reached 46% in the past two years. With such hybrid engines and fuel tanks, everyone has secured a range of up to 2,000 kilometers. Compared with the 46% thermal efficiency of domestic OEMs, the thermal efficiency of A25B-FXS 2.5, Toyota's gasoline engine for passenger cars, is about 41%, and the highest thermal efficiency of Volkswagen is 39%.

3. Large batteries: The extended-range edition of 2024 Leapmotor C11 packs a 43.74kWh battery with NEDC range of 300km;

The overseas REEV market is in its infancy, leaving huge scope for Chinese OEMs to go overseas.

The extended-range type is a series type, and the technology route is much simpler the hybrid type. It is quick to get started, and does not require too much technical accumulation, with a relatively low threshold. In 2024, there were 36 REEV models on sale in China, more than doubling in 2023 with 17 models. In 2025, seven REEV models will be launched on market, including Deepal's 6-seat REEV, IM's first REEV, Changan Nevo C798, Xpeng's first REEV, STERRA's second SUV/MPV REEV, Voyah's 6-seat SUV REEV, and Leapmotor A12.

Chinese REEV OEMs' hybrid system - architecture - model

There are currently a total of 25 passenger car REEV models on sale. Brands such as Li Auto, AITO and Leapmotor prevail in the number of models and sales volume. Li Auto sells each REEV at a price of higher than RMB300,000; Changan performs well in REEV models, and its brand Deepal features cost-effective models in a price range of RMB110,000-190,000.

From the perspective of parameters, passenger car REEVs are mainly medium-sized and medium-to-large sized passenger cars, with battery capacity of around 40kWh and EV mode range longer than 200km.

Foreign OEMs are competing to launch their own extended-range vehicles to seize the hybrid market.

Compared with PHEVs, REEVs have a simple structure and high plasticity, and are more popular in the high-end market. In the international market, foreign OEMs have planned to launch their own extended-range vehicles. Foreign brands have planned REEVs and intended to develop and improve extended-range systems and launch them on market.

For example, Hyundai, Mazda, Stellantis, Nissan, BMW, Volkswagen Scout, etc. have all planned or launched extended-range vehicles. It is reported that over 80% of consumers chose the extended-range edition of Volkswagen Scout which was just launched in North America in October 2024. From 2025 to 2030, REEVs will not only gain popularity in the domestic market, but will be very hot in foreign markets.

Table of Contents

1 Hybrid Vehicle Structure, Definition and Policies

2 Status Quo and Trends of Global and Chinese Hybrid Vehicle Markets

3 Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Technology and Components

4 Range Extended Electric Vehicle (REEV) Technology and Components

5 Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEV) Technology and Components

6 Summary of Hybrid Vehicle OEMs' Routes

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