세계 6G 무선 시장 : 6G 기술 개발(투자, R&D, 시험), 6G 시장 상업화(인프라, 전개, 용도 및 서비스), 이용 사례, 산업(2024-2030년)
6G Wireless Market by 6G Technology Development (Investment, R&D and Testing) and 6G Market Commercialization (Infrastructure, Deployment, Applications and Services), Use Cases and Industry Verticals 2024 - 2030
상품코드:1436829
리서치사:Mind Commerce
발행일:2024년 02월
페이지 정보:영문 199 Pages
라이선스 & 가격 (부가세 별도)
한글목차
6G 통신 서비스의 초기 상용화는 2030년 전망이며, 상용화 전 6G 인프라와 테스트 베드 시장은 2030년까지 약 50억 달러 규모에 이를 것으로 예측됩니다. 아시아태평양은 6G 코어와 RF에 대한 투자를 선도하고 미국과 유럽이 이어질 전망입니다.
6G 무선은 대역폭을 확대하고 대기 시간을 줄이기 위해 서브 THz 무선 주파수 및 가시광선 스펙트럼과 같은 완전히 새로운 RAN 접근법을 활용할 뿐만 아니라 스펙트럼 효율을 향상시키는 고급 MIMO 기술 등 기존의 무선 방식의 강화도 활용하게 됩니다. 여기에는 멀티 RAT 및 3D 멀티링크 연결을 결합한 각운동량 다중화와 같은 혁신적인 기술과 HetNet 환경에서 스몰셀 컨셉의 초확장과 같은 초고밀도 무선 액세스 포인트 배포가 포함됩니다.
6G 네트워크는 5G의 기존 인프라를 활용하는 한편, 초고속 무선 주파수를 사용하여 보다 많은 데이터를 보다 고속으로 전송함으로써 차별화를 도모하고, 머신러닝에 의한 AI도 내장합니다. 머신러닝과 AI 기반 네트워크 자동화는 네트워크 관리와 최적화를 단순화하기 위해 매우 중요합니다.
본 보고서에서는 6G 무선 시장을 종합적으로 조사하여 6G의 신기술, 솔루션, 용도, 서비스와 관련된 기술 투자 동향, R&D 동향, 프로토타이핑& 테스트 동향, 시장 규모 추이와 예측, 주요 사례, 경쟁 환경, 주요 기업의 분석 등을 정리했습니다.
목차
제1장 주요 요약
제2장 소개
6G 무선의 정의
6G 로드맵: 6G 무선 네트워크로의 진화
Beyond 5G
6G 네트워크 요소
6G의 기능과 장점
6G 기술의 장점
6G 시장 성장 촉진요인,과제
6G의 비즈니스 모델
6G 밸류체인
6G가 산업과 사회에 미칠 것으로 예상되는 영향
6G의 연구에의 대처와 산업의 발전
제3장 6G 기술 고려 사항
6G 스펙트럼의 진화
6G 네트워크 관리 및 오케스트레이션
6G 통신 인프라
6G 통신 기술
6G를 실현하는 기술
6G의 R&D 투자
기술 수용 및 시장 개발을 위한 6G 시험 침대
제4장 6G 인프라 시장
코어 인프라
무선 설비
컴퓨팅 기기
전송 네트워크
제5장 6G 반도체 시장
6G 칩셋
테라헤르츠 수신기
제6장 6G 디바이스 시장
스마트폰 및 기타 휴대용 장비
웨어러블 및 임플란트
모뎀, 게이트웨이, 액세스 포인트
차량 통신
건물 및 시설의 통신
제7장 6G 재료 시장
제8장 6G 솔루션 영역
6G 통신
6G 센싱
6G 이미징
6G의 정확한 위치 정보
제9장 6G 이용 사례와 예상되는 용도
볼륨 미디어 스트리밍
커넥티드 제조과 오토메이션
다감각의 증강현실
차세대 건강 관리
브레인 컴퓨터 통합을 위한 통신
커넥티드 로보틱스와 자율 시스템
오감 정보 전달
IoE(Internet of Everything)
제10장 6G와 차세대 컴퓨팅의 시너지 효과
멀티 액세스 엣지 컴퓨팅
고성능 컴퓨팅
양자 컴퓨팅
제11장 6G 기술기업 분석
AT&T
Autotalks
Broadcom Corporation
China Telecom
China Unicom
Cisco Systems
Corning Incorporated
DARPA
DeepSig
Ericsson
Meta(Facebook)
Federated Wireless
Fujitsu
Google
Huawei
InterDigital
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Keysight Technologies
LG Corporation
MediaTek
Motorola Solutions
Nanyang Technological University
National Science Foundation
Nokia(Bell Labs)
NEC Corporation
NTT DoCoMo
Nvidia
NYU Wireless
Orange
NGMN Alliance
Qualcomm
Samsung Electronics
SK Telecom
T-Mobile
TU Braunschweig
ComSenTer(University of California)
University of Oulu(6G Flagship)
Virginia Diodes
National Instrument Corp.
Virginia Tech
Verizon Wireless
ZTE
Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited
제12장 6G 시장 분석,예측
네트워크, 디바이스, 컴퓨팅 비용 고려 사항
6G 인프라 시장
세계 6G 인프라 시장
세계 6G 인프라 시장 : 유형별
지역의 6G 인프라 시장
6G 인프라 유닛의 전개
6G 인프라 유닛의 세계 전개
세계 6G 인프라 유닛의 전개 : 유형별
6G 인프라 유닛의 전개 : 지역별
6G 테스트 베드 시장
세계 6G 테스트 베드 PaaS 시장
세계 6G 테스트 베드 PaaS 시장 : 지역별
세계 6G 테스트 베드 PaaS 시장 : 국가별
6G에 대한 투자
세계 6G의 R&D 투자
세계 6G 코어 인프라 투자
세계 6G 전송 네트워크에 대한 투자
제13장 총론,제안
제14장 부록
BJH
영문 목차
영문목차
Overview:
In its sixth year of analyzing the emerging six-generation wireless market, Mind Commerce is the leading market research company focused upon emerging 6G technologies, capabilities, solutions, applications and services. This report edition expands upon previous analysis focused primarily upon emerging 6G technologies. This edition evaluates 6G development including technology investment, R&D, prototyping and testing.
The report also assesses 6G market commercialization including opportunities for infrastructure development and equipment deployment as well as a realization of applications and services. The report also analyzes 6G market use cases by industry vertical. The report provides 6G market sizing for 2024 through 2030, with the lower end of the range focused primarily on technology development, and the latter end of the range focused on 6G market commercialization.
Select Report Findings:
6G communication services will achieve initial commercialization in 2030
Pre-commercial 6G infrastructure and testbeds market will reach almost $5 billion by 2030
The Asia Pacific region will lead 6G core and RF investment, followed by the USA and Europe
6G technologies are best characterized as ultra-secure, ultra-fast, ultra-reliable, and ultra-short-range oriented capabilities
Network optimization beyond 5G will rely upon smart surfaces with solutions for 6G networks and devices reaching $16 billion by 2035
Post commercialization investment in 6G technologies will be dominated by short-range wireless use cases as well as peer-to-peer networking
6G wireless will drive a new wave of electronics innovation including device power management, miniaturization, networking, and edge computing
Communications with 6G will depend on device peering for short-chain connectivity for short-range communications and long-chain connectivity for front-haul and back-haul
6G Wireless Technologies
A battle is underway to influence the standards of 6G amid concerns by Western countries and their allies that authoritarian regimes could gain further control over the internet in their countries. The governments of the U.S., Australia, Canada, the Czech Republic, Finland, France, Japan, South Korea, Sweden and the U.K. released a joint statement saying that by working together, "we can support open, free, global, interoperable, reliable, resilient, and secure connectivity."
Expanding upon the trend started with technologies supporting 5G capabilities, 6G will be integrated with a set of previously disparate technologies. Several key technologies will converge with 6G including AI, big data analytics, and next generation computing. 6G networks will extend the performance of existing 5G capabilities along with expanding the scope to support increasingly new and innovative applications across the realms of communications, sensing, wireless cognition, and imaging.
Whereas 5G leverages mmWave in the microwave frequency range, 6G will take advantage of even smaller wavelengths at the Terahertz (THz) band in the 100 GHz to 3 THz range. While the impact to the Radio Access Network (RAN) for 5G is substantial, it will be even bigger with 6G networks, which is driven largely by a substantial increase in frequency, which will facilitate the need for antennas virtually everywhere.
Just as there have been, and will continue to be, many challenges with 5G, so will there be many new challenges with 6G. One of those challenges will be developing commercial transceivers for THz frequencies. This is largely an area in which electronics component providers must innovate. For example, semiconductor providers will need to deal with extremely small wavelengths and correspondingly small physical size of RF transistors and how they will interwork with element spacing of THz antenna arrays.
6G wireless will also exploit some completely new RAN approaches to increasing bandwidth and reducing latency, such as sub-THz radio frequencies and visible light spectrum, as well as leverage enhancements to existing radio methods, such as advanced MIMO technologies to increase spectral efficiency. This will include some innovative methods such as angular momentum multiplexing, combining multi-RAT and 3D multi-link connectivity, along with ultra-dense radio access point deployment such as hyper-extension of the small cell concept in a HetNet environment.
Terahertz Radio Propagation for 6G Communications
There will be many new technologies and solutions approaches to enable terahertz-level radio. For example, ultra-fast radio chips will be required to achieve frequencies up to 20THz for next generation 6G communications. The metastructures are etched and patterned at sub-wavelength distances onto a semiconductor made of gallium nitride and indium gallium nitride. These allow electrical fields inside devices to be controlled.
This approach to semiconductor design has already enabled up to 100 gigabits per second at terahertz frequencies, which represents a 10X improvement over 5G communications. Effectively utilizing these high frequencies will also require innovation in smart antenna implementation. For example, there is a need for reconfigurable antennas that can tune properties such as frequency and radiation beams in real-time.
Sub-Terahertz Radio 6G Solutions
While 6G wireless promises dramatically higher data speeds than 5G advanced via terahertz frequencies, sub-THz communication is a very important interim solution area. For example, the frequency range from 7.125 GHz to 24.25 GHz is attracting attention as possible additional spectrum for 6G, and is already being unofficially referred to as FR3. The wavelength is attractive as compared to FR2 frequencies; it is less susceptible to attenuation, simplifying coverage, and includes enough unallocated frequencies to support wider channels than FR1 (100 MHz).
6G and Smart Surface Technologies
As discussed in previous versions of this 6G market report, smart surfaces will be key to the long-term success of 6G wireless. Specifically, reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS) technology will provide better control of the electromagnetic waves in the radio propagation channel, which shall dramatically improve performance thanks to leveraging metamaterial properties not found in natural substances.
RIS is crucial for the 6G market, especially at higher frequency ranges, as propagation losses may reach up to 2,000 times higher than that of 5G commercial frequencies. However, current RIS engineering approaches yield up to a 40% improvement as compared to non-RIS based systems. Use of RIS will be critical for 6G in urban environments, especially for indoor wireless for enterprise and industrial solutions.
6G and Artificial Intelligence
While the 6G network will take advantage of 5G's existing infrastructure, it differentiates itself by using ultra-high radio frequencies to carry more data at faster speeds, and it will have built-in artificial intelligence with machine learning too. Machine learning and AI-based network automation will be crucial to simplify network management and optimization.
With 6G, users can expect to instantaneously transfer data and do away with buffering, lags and disconnections. In a similar way to how 2G gave us text messaging and 4G introduced an entire mobile app system, 6G will enhance machine-to-machine communication, creating greater interoperability in a "smart," Internet-of-Things era.
In this manner, 6G will provide super communication and ubiquitous information, and converge computing services, thus being the base for an interconnected and converged physical and digital world. 6G will make it possible for applications to "sense" their surroundings, thereby turning the network into a tool for "sixth sense" capabilities.
Ongoing Study of Technologies Beyond 5G and Sixth Generation Wireless
Starting in 2018, we began to formulate a vision for wireless and networking beyond 5G. Working independently, we published our first 6G market research report titled Sixth Generation Cellular: Looking Beyond 5G to the 6G Technology Market in June 2019. This ground-breaking research represented an initial investigation into the upcoming 6G technology market. This research built upon our extensive analysis in LTE, 5G, and computing (core cloud, edge computing, HPC, and quantum), and other related areas such as artificial intelligence and AI support of other technologies.
6G Flagship, an organization funded in part by the Academy of Finland with an overall budget of 251 million Euros to study 6G from 2018 to 2026, published the white paper titled "Key Drivers and Research Challenges for 6G Ubiquitous Wireless Intelligence" in September 2019. This publisher subsequently became involved with efforts at the University of Oulu to develop a set of new white papers focused on various additional aspects of 6G.
This culminated in the publishing of "White Paper on 6G Networking" in June 2020. Written by an international expert group, and led by the Finnish 6G Flagship program, the paper sheds light on advanced features relevant to networking that are anticipated to shape the evolution beyond 5G, ultimately leading to 6G. Gerry Christensen, founder of Mind Commerce, was one of the authors of the paper and his name is found among the contributors listed on the 6G Flagship website.
The involvement in 6G Flagship's efforts has both solidified its initial research findings as well as provided an opportunity to network with wireless and networking experts from industry and academia. This makes Mind Commerce the foremost market research authority in the emerging area of 6G technology, solutions, applications and services.
Companies in Report:
AT&T
Autotalks
Broadcom Corporation
China Telecom
China Unicom
Cisco Systems
ComSenTer (University of California)
Corning Incorporated
DARPA
DeepSig
Ericsson
European Commission
Federated Wireless
Fujitsu
Google
Huawei
InterDigital
International Telecommunication Union
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
Keysight Technologies
LG Corporation
MediaTek
Motorola Solutions
Nanyang Technological University
National Instrument Corp.
National Science Foundation
NEC Corporation
NGMN Alliance
Nokia (Bell Labs)
NTT DoCoMo
Nvidia
NYU Wireless
Orange
Qualcomm
Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited
Samsung Electronics
SK Telecom
T-Mobile
TU Braunschweig
University of Oulu (6G Flagship)
Verizon Wireless
Virginia Diodes
Virginia Tech
ZTE
Table of Contents
1.0. Executive Summary
2.0. Introduction
2.1. Defining 6G Wireless
2.1.1. 6G Key Performance Indicators
2.1.2. 5G and 6G Comparison
2.2. 6G Roadmap: Evolution to 6G Wireless Networks
2.3. Beyond 5G Evolution, 5G Context, and 6G
2.3.1. Much Greater Data Speed
2.3.2. Focus on Edge Computing for Latency Reduction
2.3.3. Dealing with Radio Propagation and Mobility Challenges
2.3.4. Providing Massively Scalable Support for IoT
2.3.5. Increased Emphasis on Private Networks for Business
2.4. 6G Network Elements
2.4.1. New Spectrum and Frequencies
2.4.2. Radio Access Network Transformation
2.4.3. Changes to Core Networks
2.4.4. Evolution of the Datacenter
2.5. 6G Functionality and Benefits
2.5.1. 6G Functionality and Features
2.5.1.1. Leverages Terahertz Communication
2.5.1.2. Emphasis on Energy Conservation
2.5.1.3. Operational, Environmental, and Service Intelligence
2.5.1.4. Improved Security and Privacy
2.5.1.5. Connected Satellite Network and Intelligence
2.5.1.6. Synergy with Information and Energy
2.5.1.7. Three-Dimensional Connectivity
2.5.1.8. Small Cell Network Evolution
2.5.1.9. Hyper-Dense Heterogeneous Networks
2.5.1.10. Ultra-High Capacity Wireless Backhaul
2.5.1.11. Communications and Sensing Integration
2.5.1.12. Next Generation Softwarization and Virtualization
2.6. 6G Technology Benefits
2.7. 6G Market Drivers and Challenges
2.7.1. 6G Market Growth Factors
2.7.1.1. Need for Microsecond Latency
2.7.1.2. Growth of IoT and Industrial, Object-Driven Traffic
2.7.1.3. Wireless Cognition, Single Core Structure, and Public Safety
2.7.1.4. Smart City Applications: Sensing and More
2.7.1.5. Ubiquitous Coverage from Satellite Internet to Ultra-Local Networks
2.7.1.6. Ultra-Macro Coverage
2.7.1.7. Ultra-Micro Coverage
2.7.1.8. Fully Digital and Connected World
2.7.1.9. Fundamental Improvements in User Experience
2.7.1.10. 6G Democratizes Intelligence
2.7.1.10.1. Smart Surfaces
2.7.1.10.2. Smart Environments
2.7.1.10.3. Smart Power
2.7.1.11. Meeting UN Sustainable Development Goals
2.7.1.12. Facilitating Private-Public Industry Collaboration
2.7.1.13. Realizing a Hyper-Connected Intelligent World
2.7.2. 6G Market Challenges
2.7.2.1. High Deployment Expenditures
2.7.2.2. Unprecedented Impacts on Industry Verticals
2.7.2.3. Business Model Disruption for Communication Service Providers
2.7.2.3.1. Substantial Disintermediation
2.7.2.3.2. Voice and Data Value Perception Approaches Zero
2.7.2.3.3. Extreme Focus on Local Communication and Networking
2.7.2.3.4. Device-to-Device Signaling, Relay, and Mesh Networks
2.7.2.3.5. Supporting Micro-Operators Networks
2.7.2.4. Business Model Disruption for Computing and Data Centers
2.7.2.4.1. Significant Data will be Creation
2.7.2.4.2. Edge Compute Native Networks
2.7.2.4.3. Considerable Catalyst for HPC and Quantum Computing
2.7.2.4.4. New Security and Privacy Issues
2.8. 6G Business Models
2.8.1. Decentralized Business Model
2.8.2. New Business Model for Network Operators
2.8.3. Private Network Transformation
2.8.4. Micro-Operators and Distributed Services Model
2.9. 6G Value Chain
2.9.1. User Equipment Manufacturers
2.9.2. Infrastructure Manufacturers
2.9.3. Connectivity Providers
2.9.4. IoT Solution Providers
2.9.5. Analytics Solution Providers
2.9.6. Enterprise, Government, and Industrial Users
2.9.7. Software Solution Providers
2.10. Anticipated 6G Impacts on Industry and Society
2.10.1. 6G Impact on Information and Communications Technology
2.10.2. 6G Economic and Cultural Impacts
2.11. 6G Research Initiatives and Industry Development
2.11.1. China
2.11.2. United States
2.11.3. Canada
2.11.4. Japan
2.11.5. South Korea
2.11.6. Finland (6G Flagship)
2.11.7. European Commission
2.11.8. International Telecommunication Union
3.0. 6G Technology Considerations
3.1. 6G Spectrum Evolution
3.1.1. 95 Ghz to 3 THz Frequency Bands
3.1.2. THz Spectrum Benefits
3.1.3. Radio Frequency and Data Rates Targeting One Terabit
3.1.4. Unlicensed Spectrum and Private Networks
3.1.4.1. NR U and 6G U
3.1.4.2. 6G Private Networks
3.1.5. Citizens Broadband Radio Service and Spectrum Sharing
3.1.6. Impact of Softwarization and AI
3.2. 6G Network Management and Orchestration
3.3. 6G Communication Infrastructure
3.3.1. Physical, Digital, and Biological System Convergence
3.3.2. Short Range Communication Impact
3.3.3. AI and Machine Learning
3.3.4. Inter-Protocol Interference
3.3.5. Molecular Communications
3.3.6. Internet of Nano-Things
3.3.7. Internet of Sense
3.4. 6G Communication Technologies
3.4.1. Substantial Improvements in Enhanced Mobile Broadband
