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Type 1 Diabetes: Seven-Market Drug Forecast and Market Analysis
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This report covers the 7MM (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan) and provides an Excel-based forecast model for the type 1 diabetes market through 2033.
GlobalData estimates sales of T1D therapeutics to be approximately $2.83 billion across the 7MM in 2023. By 2033, GlobalData expects the T1D market to grow at a strong compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.3%, reaching sales of $9.91 billion by the end of the forecast period.
Major drivers of T1D market growth over the forecast period are the -
- Increase in the prescription of rapid-acting insulins in line with rising use of insulin pumps
- Launch of several oral and injectable agents, particularly immunomodulatory therapies
- Increase in the global prevalence of T1D
Major barriers that will restrict the growth of the T1D market during the forecast period are the -
- High price of certain insulins and immunomodulatory agents
- Patent expiries allowing for further biosimilar and generic erosion
- High failure rate of clinical trials developing disease-modifying therapeutics
Scope
- Overview of type 1 diabetes, including epidemiology, symptoms, diagnosis, and disease management.
- Annualized type 1 diabetes therapeutics market revenue, cost of therapy per patient, and treatment usage patterns forecast from 2023 to 2033.
- Key topics covered include strategic competitor assessment, market characterization, unmet needs, clinical trial mapping, and implications of these factors for the type 1 diabetes therapeutics market.
- Pipeline analysis: comprehensive data assessing emerging trends and mechanisms of action under development for type 1 diabetes treatment. The most promising candidates in late-stage development are profiled.
- Analysis of the current and future market competition in the global type 1 diabetes therapeutics market. Insightful review of the key industry drivers, restraints and challenges. Each trend is independently researched to provide qualitative analysis of its implications.
Reasons to Buy
- Develop and design your in-licensing and out-licensing strategies through a review of pipeline products and technologies, and by identifying the companies with the most robust pipeline.
- Develop business strategies by understanding the trends shaping and driving the 7MM type 1 diabetes therapeutics market.
- Drive revenues by understanding the key trends, innovative products and technologies, market segments, and companies likely to impact the 7MM type 1 diabetes therapeutics market in the future.
- Formulate effective sales and marketing strategies by understanding the competitive landscape and by analyzing the performance of various competitors.
- Identify emerging players with potentially strong product portfolios and create effective counter-strategies to gain a competitive advantage.
- Organize your sales and marketing efforts by identifying the market categories and segments that present maximum opportunities for consolidations, investments and strategic partnerships.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
1 Type 1 Diabetes: Executive Summary
- 1.1 Type 1 Diabetes therapeutics market will grow to $9.91 billion by 2033
- 1.2 T1D market leaders employ diverse strategies to protect insulin franchises from biosimilar threats, while emerging players focus on disease-modifying innovations
- 1.3 Persistent unmet needs highlight gaps in current and emerging T1D therapies
- 1.4 The synergistic rise of pumps, CGMs, and ultra-rapid-acting insulins in T1D management
- 1.5 What do physicians think?
2 Introduction
- 2.1 Catalyst
- 2.2 Related reports
- 2.3 Upcoming reports
3 Disease Overview
- 3.1 Etiology and pathophysiology
- 3.1.1 Etiology
- 3.1.2 Pathophysiology
- 3.1.3 Biomarkers for monitoring the islet autoreactivity of T1D
4 Epidemiology
- 4.1 Disease background
- 4.2 Risk factors and comorbidities
- 4.3 Global and historical trends
- 4.4 7MM forecast methodology
- 4.4.1 Sources
- 4.4.2 Forecast assumptions and methods
- 4.4.3 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D - 7MM
- 4.4.4 Forecast assumptions and methods: diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D
- 4.4.5 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D segmented by BMI
- 4.4.6 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D that experienced hypoglycemic events
- 4.4.7 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with brittle diabetes
- 4.4.8 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D that experienced DKA events
- 4.4.9 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D eligible for pancreas transplantation
- 4.4.10 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with CKD
- 4.4.11 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with CVD
- 4.4.12 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with at least one gene encoding for HLA-DQ8
- 4.4.13 Forecast assumptions and methods: total prevalent cases of T1D
- 4.5 Epidemiological forecast for T1D (2023-33)
- 4.5.1 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D
- 4.5.2 Age-specific diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D
- 4.5.3 Sex-specific diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D
- 4.5.4 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D by BMI category
- 4.5.5 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D that experienced hypoglycemic events
- 4.5.6 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with brittle diabetes
- 4.5.7 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D that experienced DKA events
- 4.5.8 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D eligible for pancreas transplantation
- 4.5.9 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with CKD
- 4.5.10 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with CVD
- 4.5.11 Diagnosed prevalent cases of T1D with at least one gene encoding for HLA-DQ8
- 4.5.12 Total prevalent cases of T1D
- 4.6 Discussion
- 4.6.1 Epidemiological forecast insight
- 4.6.2 COVID-19 impact
- 4.6.3 Limitations of the analysis
- 4.6.4 Strengths of the analysis
5 Disease Management
- 5.1 Diagnosis and treatment overview
- 5.2 US disease management
- 5.3 5EU disease management
- 5.4 Japan disease management
- 5.5 KOL insights on disease management
6 Current Treatment Options
7 Unmet Needs and Opportunity Assessment
- 7.1 Overview
- 7.2 Urgent need for disease-modifying therapies
- 7.3 Avoiding hypoglycemic episodes and optimising glycemic control
- 7.4 Improving compliance and reducing the burden of insulin therapy
- 7.5 High financial cost of T1D management
8 R&D Strategies
- 8.1 Overview
- 8.1.1 Immunomodulatory therapies: addressing autoimmune pathogenesis
- 8.1.2 Advanced drug delivery systems and glucose-responsive insulins
- 8.1.3 Regenerative medicine: pursuing curative therapies
- 8.2 Clinical trials design
- 8.2.1 Study design - adaptive clinical trials and comprehensive frameworks
- 8.2.2 Digital health integration
- 8.2.3 Model-based simulations
9 Pipeline Assessment
- 9.1 Overview
- 9.2 Promising drugs in clinical development
10 Pipeline Valuation Analysis
- 10.1 Overview
- 10.2 Competitive assessment
- 10.2.1 Insulin therapies
- 10.2.2 Non-insulin therapies
11 Current and Future Players
- 11.1 Overview
- 11.2 Deal-making trends
12 Market Outlook
- 12.1 Global markets
- 12.1.1 Forecast
- 12.1.2 Drivers and barriers - global issues
- 12.2 US
- 12.2.1 Forecast
- 12.2.2 Key events
- 12.2.3 Drivers and barriers
- 12.3 EU
- 12.3.1 Forecast
- 12.3.2 Key events
- 12.3.3 Drivers and barriers
- 12.4 Japan
- 12.4.1 Forecast
- 12.4.2 Key events
- 12.4.3 Drivers and barriers
13 Appendix
- 13.1 Bibliography
- 13.2 Abbreviations
- 13.3 Methodology
- 13.3.1 Forecasting methodology
- 13.4 Primary research - KOLs interviewed for this report
- 13.5 Primary research - prescriber survey
- 13.6 About the authors
- 13.6.1 Analyst
- 13.6.2 Therapy Area Director
- 13.6.3 Vice President of Disease Intelligence and Epidemiology
- 13.6.4 Global Head of Pharma Research, Analysis, and Competitive Intelligence
- About GlobalData
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