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Global Pharmaceutical Industry Outlook, 2024
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Growing Competitive Intensity is Driving Pharma Digitization, Building Unique Growth Opportunities

Frost & Sullivan identifies and defines the leading trends shaping the global pharmaceutical landscape in this analysis. The study period is 2021-2028, with 2023 as the base year and 2024-2028 as the forecast period. The geographic scope includes 5 regions: North America, Latin America (LATAM) and the Caribbean, Asia-Pacific (APAC), Europe, and the Middle East and Africa. Chemicals/Small molecules and biologics are the 2 segments covered.

Other information covered include:

After a plateaued growth in 2023 due to the biologics segment slowdown and a decrease in the uptake of COVID-19 vaccines and therapeutics, the industry will likely realign its growth to record a 5.9% CAGR between 2023 and 2028. Year-on-year (YoY) growth will remain low in developed economies, including the United States and Europe. In contrast, emerging economies in APAC, LATAM, and the rest of the world will register comparatively stronger single-digit YoY growth.

The recession and ongoing inflation will remain pressing challenges for the pharmaceutical industry in 2024, affecting returns on investment. Pharmaceutical companies will continue to shift toward regional rather than global suppliers to ensure geographic proximity and a smoother, more reliable supply chain.

There continues to be a strong focus on environmental, social, and governance commitments and supply-chain digitalization through lighthouse manufacturing techniques, decentralized clinical trial approaches, and the application of artificial intelligence. The industry is also witnessing a healthy mergers and acquisitions landscape, with several successful transactions recently. In addition, Frost & Sullivan expects a rebound in initial public offerings (IPOs), with 5 IPOs completed by February 2024.

Table of Contents

Analyst Highlights

Transformation in the Global Pharmaceutical Industry

Ecosystem

Industry Trends

Macroeconomic Factors

Growth Generator

Predictions for 2024

Growth Generator: Small Molecules

Growth Generator: Biologics

Growth Opportunity Universe

Best Practices Recognition

Frost Radar

Next Steps

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