세계의 커넥터 시장 : 예측(2024년)

Connector Industry Forecast 2024

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한글목차

세계의 커넥터 시장 규모는 한 해 동안 한 자릿수 성장률을 기록한 후, 2023년 업계가 쇠퇴할 것이라는 예상은 아무도 놀라지 않았습니다. 유럽은 3.8% 증가, 아시아태평양은 7.3% 감소, 중국 지역은 5.7% 감소하는 등 지역과 시장 부문에 따라 매출이 크게 좌우되는 가운데 2023년에는 몇 가지 놀라움이 있었습니다. 전년 동기 대비 예약이 4분기에 들어서야 플러스로 돌아섰고, 2023년 한 해 동안 누적 예약이 마이너스를 기록했다는 점을 감안하면, 업계 전체가 이토록 호조를 보인 것은 놀라운 일입니다. 재료비, 제반 비용, 인건비 상승에도 불구하고 업계는 놀라운 회복력을 발휘해 버텨냈습니다. 산불, 가뭄, 사이클론, 태풍, 지진, 홍수 등은 전 세계가 직면한 자연재해의 일부에 불과합니다.

다음 페이지의 그래프에서 알 수 있듯이 2023년과 2024년에도 모든 지역의 성장과 쇠퇴가 동일하지 않으며, 2023년 가장 많이 성장한 지역은 유럽으로 3.8% 성장했고, ROW 지역은 0.9% 성장하여 유럽에 이어 두 번째로 성장했습니다. 다른 지역은 모두 2023년에 감소했으며, 가장 많이 감소한 지역은 일본으로 달러화 매출액이 -9.5%, 아시아태평양이 -7.3%로 가장 많이 감소했습니다. 전자 커넥터 최대 지역인 중국은 -5.7%, 두 번째 지역인 북미는 -0.3% 감소했습니다.

이 보고서는 세계의 커넥터 시장에 대해 조사했으며, 시장 개요와 함께 2023년과 2024년의 지역별 매출, 2029년까지의 전망, 부문별 동향 등을 정리하여 전해드립니다.

목차

제1장 2024년-시장은 다시 정점에

제2장 세계의 커넥터 시장 예측

• 세계의 커넥터 시장 예측 - 전년대비 달러 변동
• 세계의 커넥터 시장 예측 - 전년대비 변화율
• 최종 용도 기기 TOP 6 카테고리
• 세계의 최종 용도 기기 예측-개 요
• 예측 퍼센트 변화(2023년-2024년)와 5년간 CAGR 예측(2024년-2029년)
• 기기 부문별 시장 점유율, 2024년 및 2029년
• 세계의 최종 용도 기기 예측 - 세부 컴퓨터 및 주변기기
• 기타 컴퓨터 기기
• 비즈니스/오피스 기기
• 계측
• 의학
• 산업
• 자동차
• 운송
• 군
• 통신/데이터 통신
• 모바일 및 무선 인프라
• 소비자
• 기타 기기

제3장 북미의 커넥터 시장 예측

제4장 유럽의 커넥터 시장 예측

제5장 일본의 커넥터 시장 예측

제6장 중국의 커넥터 시장 예측

제7장 아시아태평양의 커넥터 시장 예측

제8장 기타 지역 커넥터 시장 예측

LSH

영문 목차

영문목차

Bishop & Associates has just released the 2024 "Connector Industry Forecast" update. This eightchapter report provides an in-depth, and detailed forecast of the worldwide connector industry. In addition to the detailed forecasts for each region of the world (North America, Europe, Japan, China, Asia Pacific, and ROW), an industry overview is included which provides current market trends, currency fluctuation effects, and industry sales performance, as well as an outlook narrative.

Worldwide and each regional forecast includes:

Computers & Peripherals

• Mobile Computers
• Desktops
• Servers
• Storage Equipment
• Input/Output Equipment
• Communication LAN Devices
• Other Computer Equipment

Business/Office Equipment

• Retail/POS Equipment
• Imaging Systems
• Other Business/Office Equipment

Instrumentation

• Automatic Test Equipment
• Analytical/Scientific Instruments
• Other Instrumentation

Medical Equipment

• Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
• Therapeutic Equipment
• Other Medical Equipment

Industrial

• Factory Automation and Machinery
• Construction and Civil Engineering
• Energy Markets
• Other Industrial Equipment

Automotive

• Body Wiring & Power Distribution
• Powertrain
• Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
• Navigation & Instrumentation
• Safety & Security

Transportation (non-auto)

• Commercial Vehicles
• RVs & Power Sports
• Commercial Air
• Marine
• Rail
• Construction
• Farm & Garden

Military/Aerospace

Telecom/Datacom

• Carrier Network
• Enterprise Network
• Wireless Infrastructure
• Subscriber Equipment
• Other Telecommunications

Consumer

• Personal/Portable Consumer
• Home Video Equipment
• Home Audio Equipment
• Consumer White Goods
• Other Consumer

2024 - Climbing Our Way Back to the Top!

After a year of strong single-digit growth, no one seemed surprised that the industry would decline in 2023. With industry sales performance based strongly on location and market sector, the European region grew 3.8%, while the Asia Pacific and Chinese regions declined, -7.3% and -5.7% respectively, 2023 offered several surprises. Considering that year-over-year bookings did not turn positive until the fourth quarter and year-to-date bookings remained negative throughout all of 2023, it is remarkable that the industry performed as well as it did overall. Another year highlighted by a host of natural and geopolitical developments, 2023 was a year marked by national, regional, and local conflicts and disasters. Even as material, overhead and labor prices rose, the industry managed to push on, showing remarkable resilience. Raging wildfires, drought, cyclones, storms, earthquakes, and massive flooding marked just a few of the natural disasters the world contended with.

Industry Sales Performance by Region

As indicated by the charts on the following page, growth and decline were not equal across all regions in 2023, nor will they be in 2024. The European region saw the greatest growth in 2023, growing +3.8%. With growth of +0.9%, the ROW region followed Europe. All other regions declined in 2023, with the greatest decline in Japan, where sales in US dollars decreased -9.5%, followed by Asia-Pacific with a decline of -7.3%. China, the largest region for electronic connector sales decreased -5.7%, while North America, the second largest region experienced a sales decline of -0.3%.

Forecast Assumptions

Forecasting is always difficult, especially during times of financial and geopolitical uncertainty. Projecting future business conditions in this environment is almost impossible. Consider the following economic headwinds, political challenges, and uncertainties.

• Although still considered unstable, the economy has shown it is amazingly resilient. Driven by surprisingly strong, steady growth, many countries have seen inflation slowing, almost as quickly as it came upon us. According to the International Monetary Fund, "The baseline forecast is for the world economy to continue growing at 3.2 percent during 2024 and 2025, at the same pace as in 2023. A slight acceleration for advanced economies-where growth is expected to rise from 1.6 percent in 2023 to 1.7 percent in 2024 and 1.8 percent in 2025-will be offset by a modest slowdown in emerging market and developing economies from 4.3 percent in 2023 to 4.2 percent in both 2024 and 2025."
• Highly unlikely that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates anytime soon. According to Thomson Reuters, "the US Federal Reserve signaled it is still leaning toward eventual reductions in borrowing costs, but that cuts could be delayed as recent inflation numbers have strayed further from its two percent target." "Investors are now betting that the U.S. central bank will start cutting rates in November and that it will deliver at least one reduction in borrowing costs this year."
• Although global supply chain issues have improved drastically, as quoted by Border States, "Ocean freight rates are on the rise based on strong demand and longer sailings driven by environmental and geopolitical issues in the Panama and Suez Canals." This, coupled with volatile fuel rates because of instability in OPEC+ countries, has affected shipping rates. Other issues like the collapse of the Francis Scott Key bridge (Baltimore, Maryland, US) in March has had some impact on the US supply chain, although near normal operations" resumed in late May.
• Prompted by geopolitical worries and supply constraints, the price of gasoline has continued to rise and may potentially hinder efforts to tame inflation. After declining earlier in the year, oil prices have climbed in recent weeks, spurred by concerns over supplies and geopolitical risks, including wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. It is also important to remember that higher oil prices drive up not only transportation and production costs, but eventually pass through to the prices of other core products like food and energy.
• A shortage of labor, in particular skilled laborers, such as electricians, plumbers, carpenters, machinists, welders, pipefitters, and steelworkers, even doctors, nurses, and pharmacists. A number of reasons are sited for this shortage including a decline in apprenticeship programs and shop classes, an increase in employees retiring, particularly Baby Boomers (generally classified by those born between 1946 and 1964 - according to Annuity.org, from 2021 to 2019, he number of retired workers increased from 45.1 million to 69.8 million) and not being replaced by younger workers, and a major shift in workers expectations, covering pay, hours, working location, and flexibility. In the US alone, according to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, "right now we have 8.5 million job openings in the U.S. but only 6.5 million unemployed workers."
• Increasing and prolonged political tensions: Israeli-Palestinian conflict over land and who controls it, a war between Russia and Ukraine that has gone on for two years, with no end in sight and that has increased already high tensions between NATO and Russia, heightened friction between China and Taiwan with the US bound by law to provide Taiwan with defensive weapons and US President Joe Biden announcing the US would defend Taiwan militarily - breaking with a stance known as strategic ambiguity and a major humanitarian crisis in Haiti as gangs have cut off relief efforts from the rest of the world, making it impossible to reach thousands of people suffering from malnutrition. China's continued military buildup, which includes rapid development of its nuclear, space and cyberspace capabilities. According to Heritage.org, "over the last 12 months, China built 100 new nuclear weapons-making it the fastest growing nuclear power on the planet. Beijing is on track to numerically match the U.S. nuclear arsenal by 2032."
• Increased commodity prices. While most commodity prices remained flat, rising only 0.8% in 2023, versus 12.1% in 2021 and 4.8% in 2022, the prices for oil and copper are on the rise in 2024. In April of 2024, copper prices had increased 8.92% from the previous year and 7.44% from one year ago. Like copper, oil is up 5.35% from last month and 6.73% from one year ago.
• Lack of affordable housing. As detailed by the Migration Policy Institute, "an estimated 1.6 billion people-one-fifth of humanity-lack access to adequate housing and basic services...and this number could rise to 3 billion by 2030. Over the last decade, housing prices have grown faster than incomes in most countries according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)." Although there are several reasons for the shortage, one of the most basic is the inability of the housing market to keep up with the growing population. The growth of profit-seeking investors, who purchase large numbers of houses and apartments, higher interests, and other factors such as material delays, shortages and increased material and labor costs, also impact the shortage.

There are also some interesting projections as to why we will see connector growth in 2024 and beyond, and what that growth will be. This report details the markets where Bishop anticipates growth, and which subsectors will drive that growth. This report provides projections over the next five years. Will the industry continue to grow, and which years may not be as strong as others?

These answers and more are revealed in the June 2024 "Connector Industry Forecast".

Table of Contents

Chapter 1 - 2024 - Climbing Our Way Back to the Top!

• Bookings Year-over-Year and Year-to-Date
• Billings Year-over-Year and Year-to-Date
• Industry Backlog Shrinks
• Industry Backlog April 2023/2024
• Connector Industry Book-to-Bill
• Change in Backlog
• Industry Sales Performance by Region
• 2022 and 2023 Connector Sales by Region with Percent Change
• 2023 and 2024F Connector Sales by Region with Percent Change
• 2023 and 2024F Change in Sales Dollars by Region
• 2022 and 2023 Connector Sales by Market Sector with Percent Change
• 2023 and 2024F Connector Sales by Market Sector with Percent Change and USD Delta
• Change in Market Share
• Market Share by Region 2014 through 2024F
• Market Share by Region 1994 through 2024F
• Industry Sales Performance by Month
• Historical Sales Performance
• Connector Industry Business Cycles Growth Cycles Highlighted
• Historical Percentage Change in Connector Demand
• 2023 and 2024 YTD Currency Impact on Regional Industry Growth
• Local Currency to One USD April 2023 versus April 2024
• Industry Sales Performance April 2024 USD-vs-Local Currencies 2024 and Beyond Outlook
• 2024F Connector Forecast by Geographical Region with Percent Change
• 2024F Connector Forecast by Geographical Region with Change in US Dollars
• Forecast Assumptions
• Five-Year Outlook (2024-2029)
• Five Year Forecast - Region Percent Year-Over-Year Change Sales
• Five Year Forecast - End-Use Equipment Sector Percent Year-Over-Year Change Sales
• Market Outlook and Comments
• Computers-Peripherals Sector
• Overview
• Market Trends
• Global Market Conditions
• Some of the Overall Trends Affecting the Computer Market Sector
• Trends by Subsector
• 2024F World Computer and Peripheral Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Business/Office Equipment Sector
• Global Market Conditions
• Trends by Subsector
• Overall
• 2024F World Business/Office Equipment Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Instrumentation Sector
• Worldwide Instrumentation Market by Sub-Sectors8
• Worldwide Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast - 2022, 2023, 2024F and 2029F with Five-Year CAGR
• Automatic Test Equipment Sub-Sector
• Analytical and Scientific Instruments
• Other Instruments
• Regional Sub-Sector Views
• North America
• North American Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast 2024F through 2029F
• Europe
• Europe Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast 2024F through 2029F
• Japan
• Japan Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast 2024F through 2029F
• China
• China Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast 2024F through 2029F
• Asia Pacific
• Asia Pacific Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast 2024F through 2029F
• ROW
• ROW Instrumentation Connector Sales Forecast 2024F through 2029F
• New Product Considerations
• 2024F World Instrumentation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Medical Equipment Sector
• Global Market Conditions
• Worldwide Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2022, 2023, 2024F through 2029F with Percent Change and Five-Year CAGR
• Worldwide Medical Market Sub-Sectors
• Worldwide Medical Connector Market by Sub-Sector 2024F and 2029F
• Diagnostics and Imaging Equipment Market
• Therapeutic Equipment Market Conditions
• Other Equipment Market Conditions
• Regional Sub-Sector Views
• North America
• North America Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2022, 2023, 2024F, and 2029F with Percent Change and Five-Year CAGR
• Europe
• Europe Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2022, 2023, 2024F, and 2029F with Percent Change and Five-Year CAGR
• Japan
• Japan Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2022, 2023, 2024F, and 2029F with Percent Change and Five-Year CAGR
• China
• China Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2021, 2022, 2023F, and 2028F with Percent Change and Five-Year CAGR
• Asia Pacific
• Asia Pacific Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2021, 2022, 2023F, and 2028F with Percent Change and Five-ear CAGR
• ROW
• ROW Medical Connector Sales Forecast Update 2021, 2022, 2023F, and 2028F with Percent Change and Five-Year CAGR
• 2024F World Medical Connector Forecast Market Share by Region
• Industrial Equipment Sector
• Introduction and Market Definitions
• Traditional Industrial Market - Main Market Segments
• Industrial Internet of Things - IIoT Market Segments
• Key Market Segments for the Industrial Connector Market
• Outlook for the Global Industrial Market for Connectors
• Industrial Connector Market Sales Performance by Region 2022-2024F
• Industrial Connector Market Sales Performance by Sector 2023, 2024F and 2029F
• 2024F and 2029F - Five-Year CAGR Performance by Region
• Industrial Connector Market Sales Performance by Market
• Segment 2022, 2023, & 2024F With Percent Growth and Market Share
• Industrial Connector Market Sales Performance by Market
• Segment 2023, 2024F & 2029F With Percent Growth, Five-Year CAGR, and Market Share
• Regional View
• North America
• Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2028 of the NA Industrial Market for Connectors
• Europe
• Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2028 of the European Industrial Market for Connectors
• Japan
• Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2028 of the Japanese Industrial Market for Connectors
• China
• Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2028 of the Chinese Industrial Market for Connectors
• Asia Pacific
• Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2028 of the AP Industrial Market for Connectors
• ROW
• Annual YoY Growth Rates and Forecast through 2028 of the ROW Industrial Market for Connectors
• 2024F World Industrial Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Automotive Sector
• Technology and Market Trends
• Regional View
• North America
• Europe
• Japan
• China
• Asia Pacific
• ROW
• 2024F World Automotive Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Transportation - Non-Automotive
• Commercial Vehicles
• Civil Aviation
• Rail
• RV and Power Sport (Motorcycles, ATVs, and Other Similar Equipment) and Marine
• 2024F World Transportation Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Military/Aerospace Sector
• Global Market Conditions
• 2024F World Military/Aerospace Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Telecom Equipment Sector
• Global Market Conditions
• Technology and Market Trends
• Regional View
• North America
• Europe
• Japan
• China
• Asia Pacific
• ROW
• 2024F World Telecom/Datacom Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region
• Consumer Electronics Market Sector
• Global Market Conditions & Forecast
• Current Nature of this Market and Connector Applications
• Sub-Sector Performance
• 2024F World Consumer Connector Forecast - Market Share by Region

Chapter 2 - World Connector Forecast

• World Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Dollar Change
• World Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Percent Change
• Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
• World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
• 2023-2024F Percent Change and 2024F-2029F Five-Year CAGR
• 2024F and 2029F Market Share by Equipment Sector
• World End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail Computers & Peripherals
  • Mobile Computers
  • Desktops
  • Servers
  • Storage Equipment
  • Input/Output Equipment
  • Communication LAN Devices
• Other Computer Equipment
• Business/Office Equipment
  • Retail/POS Equipment
  • Imaging Systems
  • Other Office Equipment
• Instrumentation
  • Automatic Test Equipment
  • Analytical & Scientific Instruments
  • Other Instruments
• Medical
  • Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
  • Therapeutic Equipment
  • Other Medical Equipment
• Industrial
  • Heavy Equipment
  • Industrial Automation & Process Control
  • Building & Civil Engineering
  • Energy Markets
  • Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
  • Other Equipment
• Automotive
  • Body Wiring & Power Distribution
  • Powertrain
  • Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
  • Navigation & Instrumentation
  • Safety & Security
• Transportation
  • Commercial Air
  • Commercial Vehicles
  • Rail
  • Heavy Equipment
  • Recreation
  • Commercial Marine
• Military
• Telecom/Datacom
  • Carrier Network
  • Enterprise Network
• Mobile & Wireless Wireless Infrastructure
  • Subscriber Equipment
  • Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
  • Other Telecommunications
• Consumer
  • Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
  • Home Video Equipment
  • Home Audio Equipment
  • Consumer White Goods
  • Other Consumer
• Other Equipment

Chapter 3 - North American Connector Forecast

• North American Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Dollar Change
• North American Connector Market Forecast - Year-to-Year Percent Change
• Top Six End-Use Equipment Categories
• North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Summary
• 2023-2024F Percent Change and 2024F-2029F Five-Year CAGR
• 2024F and 2029F Market Share by Equipment Sector
• North American End-Use Equipment Forecast - Detail
• Computers & Peripherals
  • Mobile Computers
  • Desktops
  • Servers
  • Storage Equipment
  • Input/Output Equipment
  • Communication LAN Devices
  • Other Computer Equipment
• Business/Office Equipment
  • Retail/POS Equipment
  • Imaging Systems
  • Other Office Equipment
• Instrumentation
  • Automatic Test Equipment
  • Analytical & Scientific Instruments
  • Other Instruments
• Medical
  • Diagnostic & Imaging Equipment
  • Therapeutic Equipment
  • Other Medical Equipment
• Industrial
  • Heavy Equipment
  • Industrial Automation & Process Control
  • Building & Civil Engineering
  • Energy Markets
  • Machine Tools, Machinery & Robotics
  • Other Equipment
• Automotive
  • Body Wiring & Power Distribution
  • Powertrain
  • Comfort, Convenience & Entertainment
  • Navigation & Instrumentation
  • Safety & Security
• Transportation
  • Commercial Vehicles
  • RV's & Power Sports
  • Commercial Air
  • Marine
  • Rail
  • Construction
  • Farm & Garden
• Military
• Telecom/Datacom
  • Carrier Network
  • Enterprise Network
  • Mobile & Wireless
  • Wireless Infrastructure
  • Subscriber Equipment
  • Cable-Equipment-Infrastructure
  • Other Telecommunications
• Consumer
  • Personal/Portable Consumer Electronics
  • Home Video Equipment
  • Home Audio Equipment
  • Consumer White Goods
  • Other Consumer
• Other Equipment

Chapters 4 Thru 8 Provide the Same Detail Level as Chapter 3

Chapter 4 - European Connector Forecast

Chapter 5 - Japanese Connector Forecast

Chapter 6 - Chinese Connector Forecast

Chapter 7 - Asia Pacific Connector Forecast

Chapter 8 - ROW Connector Forecast

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